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Competitive landscape prompts Truist to lift Carnival stock target, keeps Hold

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 23/07/2024, 17:04
CCL
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Tuesday, Truist Securities increased the price target for Carnival Corporation (NYSE:CCL) to $20 from $17, while maintaining a Hold rating on the stock. The firm's analyst highlighted the competitive landscape, noting that MSC Cruises, a privately-owned value brand, has been actively targeting Carnival's customer base with competitive pricing.

Since 2021, MSC has introduced five new ships, adding over 24,000 berths, with plans to launch three more ships between 2025-2027, which will introduce over 15,000 additional berths. The arrival of MSC World America is expected in April 2025, and the company is also investing in what is anticipated to be the world's largest cruise terminal in Miami.

In contrast, Carnival has launched only one new ship in 2024 and has no new ships planned for the next two years as the company is prioritizing debt reduction. Carnival currently operates 27 ships with a total of 89,000 berths.

Despite MSC's aggressive marketing efforts to penetrate the North American market, travel executives have indicated that MSC is not engaging in unusual discounting practices and is, in fact, raising prices.

The analyst also mentioned Carnival's new private island destination, Celebration Key, but suggested that this addition is unlikely to significantly impact earnings due to Carnival's already substantial market share.

Carnival's annual sales are approximately 175% greater than those of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NYSE:NCLH) and 55% more than Royal Caribbean Cruises (NYSE:RCL).

The update from Truist Securities comes as the cruise industry continues to navigate a dynamic competitive environment, with various players expanding their fleets and enhancing their offerings to attract customers in the post-pandemic travel market.

In other recent news, Carnival Corporation has been making significant strides in the cruise industry. The company recently reported record Q2 earnings, surpassing its guidance with a $170 million bottom-line outperformance, driven by a 12% increase in yields. This led to record revenues, operating income, and all-time highs in customer deposits and booking levels.

Argus Research and Macquarie have both maintained their positive ratings on Carnival Corporation and increased their price targets to $25, reflecting confidence in the company's robust demand and extended booking curve.

The company is also in the process of strategic brand consolidation, with plans to sunset P&O Cruises Australia and integrate it into Carnival Cruise Line. In addition, Carnival Corporation is developing a new destination, Celebration Key, expected to launch in 2025, which is anticipated to contribute to revenue and fuel efficiency.

The company is actively working towards its 2026 SEA Change sustainability targets and reducing debt and interest expenses to strengthen its capital structure.

These are recent developments indicating Carnival Corporation's continued growth and improved returns. The company's outlook remains positive, with an 8% yield guidance for Q3 and improved full-year net income guidance by $275 million due to increased yields and cost savings.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of Truist Securities' updated price target for Carnival Corporation (NYSE:CCL), it's worth noting some additional metrics and insights that could be pivotal for investors. According to InvestingPro data, Carnival's market capitalization stands at $21.53 billion, reflecting the scale of its operations within the cruise industry. The company's Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio is currently at 23.75, with an adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 at 22.14, indicating how the stock is valued relative to its earnings. Additionally, Carnival has experienced a significant gross profit margin of 51.17% over the same period, showcasing its ability to maintain profitability amidst competitive pressures.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that Carnival's net income is expected to grow this year, which could be a positive sign for investors looking for growth potential. Moreover, the company is a prominent player in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry, which may offer a degree of stability given its established market presence. For those considering investment opportunities, there are over 14 analysts who have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, suggesting a positive outlook for the company's financial performance. It's also encouraging that analysts predict the company will be profitable this year, which aligns with Carnival's reported profitability over the last twelve months.

For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis and additional InvestingPro Tips, they can explore the full suite of insights available at Investing.com/pro/CCL. To enhance your investing strategy with these insights, use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription. Note that there are many more tips available on InvestingPro to guide your investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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