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Cloud momentum drives Oracle stock upgrade to outperform - JMP Securities

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/09/2024, 08:28
© Reuters
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On Tuesday, Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL) received an upgrade in its stock rating to Market Outperform from Market Perform by JMP Securities. This positive shift in rating is accompanied by a new price target of $175.00, indicating a strong confidence in the company's performance.


The upgrade follows Oracle's impressive first-quarter results for the fiscal year 2025, which surpassed the consensus estimates. Oracle reported non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $1.39, exceeding the expected $1.32.


Additionally, the company achieved an operating margin of 42.9%, higher than the anticipated 42.2%. These results were driven by a revenue of $13.31 billion, a 7% year-over-year increase, and above the consensus forecast of $13.20 billion.


Oracle's cloud segments exhibited significant growth, with Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS) revenue growing by 45% year-over-year, an acceleration from 42% growth in the previous quarter. Meanwhile, Software as a Service (SaaS) maintained a steady growth rate of 10%, consistent with the last quarter's performance.


Perhaps most notable was Oracle's reported remaining performance obligations (RPO), which reached $98 billion, a substantial 53% increase year-over-year. This figure notably surpassed JMP Securities' estimate of $86 billion and represents an increase from the 44% growth seen in the previous quarter.


Following the announcement of these robust financial metrics, Oracle's stock experienced an approximate 9% surge in after-market trading. This jump adds to the stock's already impressive year-to-date (YTD) gain of 33%, which outperforms the S&P 500's 15% increase and the Russell 3000's 13% rise over the same period. Oracle's strong quarterly results and the consequent upgrade by JMP Securities reflect the company's solid growth trajectory in the competitive tech market.


In other recent news, Oracle Corporation has entered into major collaborations with Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Cloud and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) Web Services (AWS) to launch joint database services, marking significant strides in multicloud strategies.


Oracle's database services are now directly accessible in Google Cloud datacenters, and the Oracle Database@AWS service is set to streamline cloud migration and management of enterprise workloads.


These developments aim to leverage Oracle's database technologies with Google Cloud's analytics and AI tools and AWS's scalable platform.


Oracle is also set to release its first-quarter earnings report, with TD Cowen projecting a quarter in line with expectations and approximately 7% constant currency growth. The company has also received reaffirmed Buy ratings from TD Cowen, Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn), Edward Jones, and Mizuho, with Bernstein reiterating an Outperform rating, emphasizing Oracle's strategic shift towards cloud services.


In recent legal news, Oracle has settled a privacy lawsuit for $115 million. Additionally, TikTok is contesting the U.S. Department of Justice's mandate for its parent company, ByteDance, to divest its U.S. operations, asserting that its user data is securely stored on U.S.-based Oracle cloud servers.


In acquisition news, Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison is set to gain control of Paramount Global following Skydance Media's acquisition of the Redstone family's stake in the film and television company. These are recent developments in the ongoing operations of Oracle Corporation.


InvestingPro Insights


Oracle Corporation's (NYSE:ORCL) recent upgrade by JMP Securities is bolstered by its strong financial performance and strategic positioning in the cloud market. InvestingPro data highlights Oracle's robust fundamentals, with a market cap of $385.52 billion and a P/E ratio of 36.89, which, while high, underscores the market's high expectations for the company's future earnings. The company's revenue growth for the last twelve months as of Q4 2024 stood at 6.02%, reflecting a steady upward trajectory in its financial performance.


Beyond the numbers, InvestingPro Tips identify Oracle as a prominent player in the Software industry, with a record of raising its dividend for 10 consecutive years and maintaining dividend payments for 16 consecutive years. This consistency in rewarding shareholders is a testament to Oracle's financial health and its commitment to returning value to investors. Additionally, analysts predict the company will be profitable this year, a forecast that aligns with Oracle's positive earnings per share (EPS) and operating margin reported in the first quarter of fiscal year 2025.


Investors interested in Oracle's growth story and future prospects can find a wealth of additional insights on InvestingPro, which lists 15 more InvestingPro Tips for a comprehensive analysis. These tips provide a deeper dive into the company's valuation multiples, liquidity position, and historical stock performance, offering a well-rounded view of Oracle's investment potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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