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Citi raises Pegasystems target $5 while keeping a 'Buy' rating

Published 25/07/2024, 20:34
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On Thursday, Citi upgraded its price target for Pegasystems (NASDAQ:PEGA) shares to $87 from the previous target of $82, while reiterating a Buy rating on the stock. The revision follows Pegasystems' strong second-quarter results, which showcased an acceleration in constant currency Annual Contract Value (ACV) growth to 13% year-over-year, surpassing the consensus estimate of 10%.

Pegasystems' performance exceeded expectations, with revenue and operating margins beating consensus forecasts by 8.5% and 650 basis points, respectively. This outperformance was attributed in part to robust Term License growth, which was aided by favorable renewal timing.

Citi highlighted Pegasystems' Blueprint strategy as a distinctive factor contributing to the company's success. The strategy has led to the creation of tens of thousands of Blueprints, indicating significant customer engagement. The firm anticipates that this strategy could potentially support deal closures and expansion rates as early as the second half of 2024 and into the calendar year 2025.

The positive outlook is also bolstered by Pegasystems' improved sales execution and the momentum of its Generation AI Blueprints. Citi expressed optimism about the company's direction and the additional growth prospects presented by Generation AI. The new price target is based on a 20x multiple of the estimated calendar year 2025 Enterprise Value to Free Cash Flow (EV/FCF).

In other recent news, Pegasystems has seen a surge in Annual Contract Value (ACV) growth to approximately 13% year-over-year in constant currency, surpassing consensus expectations. This growth has been attributed to the company's Generation AI technology and a shift towards a targeted sales model. Furthermore, a notable shift of customers transitioning to Pega Cloud is anticipated to accelerate into 2025, potentially increasing revenue significantly.

JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) has raised Pegasystems' target to $78, maintaining an Overweight rating on the company's shares based on strong Q2 performance. The firm foresees continued growth improvement throughout the year, driven by the tailwinds associated with Generation AI technology.

Meanwhile, RBC Capital has maintained its Outperform rating on Pegasystems, emphasizing the company's strong Free Cash Flow outlook and stable financial projections for 2027. Despite a degree of customer skepticism towards AI, the firm's analysis indicates a positive outlook for Pegasystems' financial performance.

Lastly, Citi has reaffirmed its Buy rating on Pegasystems, maintaining a price target of $87 These recent developments underscore the continued interest and analysis of Pegasystems by major financial institutions.

InvestingPro Insights

Pegasystems' (NASDAQ:PEGA) robust second-quarter performance, highlighted by Citi, is further complemented by encouraging financial metrics and market performance. According to InvestingPro data, Pegasystems boasts a healthy market capitalization of $5.91 billion, with a notable revenue growth of 13.44% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2023. This growth narrative is supported by a solid gross profit margin of 73.89%, underscoring the company's efficiency in managing its cost of goods sold.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that Pegasystems is expected to see net income growth this year, which aligns with Citi's positive assessment. Additionally, the company is trading at a low P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth, indicating potential for investors to capitalize on earnings expansion. It's also worth noting that Pegasystems has maintained dividend payments for 19 consecutive years, which may appeal to income-focused investors.

For readers looking to delve deeper into Pegasystems' financials and market performance, InvestingPro offers additional insights and tips. There are 9 more InvestingPro Tips available for Pegasystems, which can be accessed for a deeper analysis. To enhance your investment research, take advantage of the special offer using coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription.

The combination of Pegasystems' solid financials and the strategic initiatives outlined by Citi, such as the Blueprint strategy, positions the company as a compelling consideration for investors. With the backdrop of strong market performance and the potential for further growth, Pegasystems represents a noteworthy stock in the tech sector.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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