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Citi maintains Buy rating on NIO shares after ONVO L60 launch

Published 19/09/2024, 18:28
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Citi has reaffirmed its Buy rating on shares of NIO Inc. (NYSE: NIO) with a consistent price target of $7.00. The firm's analysis followed the recent launch of NIO's ONVO L60 model.

The new vehicle comes with two battery options: a standard range 60kWh version priced at Rmb206.9k, which can be reduced to Rmb149.9k with a battery as a service (BaaS) subscription and a monthly fee of Rmb599, and an 85kWh long-range variant priced at Rmb235.9k, or Rmb149.9k with BaaS plus an Rmb899 monthly fee.

The analyst noted that the entry-level price is competitive, attributed to the smaller 60kWh battery compared to the typical 75-80kWh found in mid-size SUVs. The launch is perceived as either meeting or slightly exceeding expectations.

The firm projects steady sales of approximately 8,000 units per month. This forecast is supported by an effective purchase cost of Rmb180k when factoring in the monthly BaaS fee, which is on par with compact SUVs that usually sell around 5,000 to 6,000 units.

The ONVO L60's pricing strategy positions it well within the mid-size SUV market, with the added appeal of NIO's brand reputation and the convenience of battery swap functionality. These factors are expected to drive higher consumer demand for the new model.

The analysis also highlighted the ONVO L60's potential to align with the sales volumes of compact SUVs, which are typically less expensive, by offering a competitive effective purchase cost when the BaaS fee is included. This strategy may enable NIO to capture a broader market segment by making the ONVO L60 an attractive option for customers seeking the features of a mid-size SUV at a more accessible price point.

In other recent news, electric vehicle manufacturer NIO Inc. reported substantial growth in its Q2 2024 earnings and revenue, reaching RMB 17.4 billion, a 98.9% increase year-over-year.

The company's vehicle sales revenue climbed by 118.2% to RMB 15.7 billion, driven by record deliveries of 57,373 units during the quarter. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) maintained its Overweight rating on NIO, projecting a positive outlook for the company's share price, while Barclays (LON:BARC) kept its Underweight rating, acknowledging the firm's stable car deliveries.

NIO has recently launched the ONVO L60 model, which has seen significant pre-orders and a price reduction exceeding market expectations. The company's Battery as a Service (BaaS) offering also witnessed a significant price drop. These pricing strategies, combined with incentives like early bird cash discounts and local government subsidies, are expected to lead to higher order conversions and exceed sales forecasts.

In terms of product diversification, NIO is introducing the first car under its mass-market brand Onvo, and planning for a low-end brand, Firefly, in 2025.

As part of its future developments, NIO plans to expand production capacity, build a third factory by next year, and launch its flagship sedan, ET9, in the next year. The company is also focusing on international expansion, targeting existing European markets and entry into the UAE market.


InvestingPro Insights


As NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) continues to innovate with the launch of its ONVO L60 model, investors and potential buyers are closely monitoring the company's financial health and market performance. According to InvestingPro data, NIO holds a market capitalization of approximately $10.55 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the automobile industry. Despite not being profitable over the last twelve months, the company has shown impressive revenue growth of nearly 31%, indicating a strong market demand for its vehicles. The gross profit margin stands at 7.84%, which, while not the strongest, suggests that the company is able to maintain a certain level of profitability despite its growth-oriented investments.

Two InvestingPro Tips that stand out for NIO at this juncture are the fact that the company holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, providing it with a degree of financial stability in a capital-intensive industry. Additionally, three analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, signaling market confidence in the company's future performance. It's important to note that the stock price has experienced a strong return over the last month, which may interest investors looking for growth opportunities in the electric vehicle sector.

For those interested in a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips on NIO, available at https://www.investing.com/pro/NIO, which could provide further insights into the company's valuation and future prospects.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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