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Citi maintains Buy on TKO amid UFC settlement talks

Published 31/07/2024, 18:02
TKO
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On Tuesday, Citi reaffirmed its Buy rating and $130 price target for TKO Group Holdings (NYSE: TKO), despite recent legal developments. The decision followed a federal judge's rejection of a proposed settlement in ongoing litigation between the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) and its fighters.

TKO Group Holdings, which has seen its shares fall to $106, is currently facing uncertainty due to the potential financial impact of the legal dispute. This price drop suggests that investors are concerned about a value risk of approximately $1.2 billion. However, Citi remains optimistic, suggesting that there is still room for a new settlement to be reached before the trial date.

The preliminary trial for one of the cases, known as the Le case, is scheduled for October 28, 2024. Citi has initiated a 90-day positive catalyst watch, indicating a belief that the parties involved may agree to a settlement larger than the original $335 million but smaller than the $1.2 billion currently factored in by the market.

The ongoing legal situation involves two cases, with the recent denial of settlement pertaining to both the Le and Johnson cases. The trial dates set for October 2024 are a critical point for TKO Group Holdings, as they could significantly affect the company's financial standing and stock value.

Citi's stance reflects a confidence in TKO Group Holdings' ability to navigate through these legal challenges and reach a favorable outcome. This perspective offers a potential upside to investors, as indicated by the maintained price target and Buy rating.

In other recent news, TKO Group Holdings has been the subject of several important developments. The company reported record-breaking attendance and revenue figures for its UFC and WWE events in the first quarter of 2024. Additionally, TKO Group has merged its UFC and WWE Live Events teams into a single unit, the TKO Live Events Strategy Team, to strengthen its position in the live events market.

Several analyst firms have also updated their perspectives on TKO Group. Roth/MKM maintained a Buy rating and increased the price target to $130 amid ongoing class action lawsuits involving UFC, a property of TKO Group. Redburn-Atlantic initiated a 'Buy' rating on TKO stock, highlighting the increasing value of sports rights. TD Cowen upgraded TKO's stock rating from 'Hold' to 'Buy' with a new price target set at $127, following strong first-quarter earnings.

InvestingPro Insights

Amid the legal uncertainties surrounding TKO Group Holdings, recent data from InvestingPro offers a glimpse into the company's financial health and market performance. Despite the challenges, TKO is expected to see net income growth this year, with analysts also anticipating sales growth in the current year. This aligns with Citi's optimistic outlook and suggests that the company has underlying strengths that may help it weather the legal storm.

From a market perspective, TKO has been trading near its 52-week high, reflecting a strong return over the last three months, with a notable price uptick of 31.13% over the last six months. This robust market performance is a positive signal for investors considering Citi's maintained Buy rating. Additionally, with a current market capitalization of $18.69 billion and a significant revenue growth of 68.28% in the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, TKO's financials demonstrate a potential for resilience and growth.

For investors seeking deeper analysis and more comprehensive insights, there are over 10 additional InvestingPro Tips available, which can be explored to better understand TKO's financial position and market prospects. These tips and metrics can be accessed through InvestingPro's platform for a more informed investment strategy.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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