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Citi keeps Buy rating on Capital One stock, noting positive trajectory despite NII pressure

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 28/10/2024, 13:02
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On Monday, Citi maintained its Buy rating on Capital One Financial (NYSE:COF), with a price target of $190.00. The firm's analysis followed Capital One's performance after its recent earnings report, which saw the company's shares increase by approximately 5.2%, contrasting with the Bank Index (BKX) which was down about 1.4%.

The management at Capital One highlighted the company's asset sensitivity, noting that while this adds pressure to net interest income (NII) in the near term, it is expected to be partly balanced by growth in the card segment. Despite the termination of the Walmart (NYSE:WMT) program, which is anticipated to raise the forward run rate, it is believed that reductions in interchange fees and higher compensation costs following a weaker second quarter will offset this impact.

Credit trends at Capital One have remained largely positive, according to the firm's analysis, although significant improvements in the short term are not anticipated by management. The firm's stance on credit remains largely unchanged following these trends.

Capital One's management has reaffirmed its confidence in completing the acquisition of Discover Financial Services (NYSE:DFS) by early 2025. A shareholder vote is expected early next year, contingent upon Discover resolving issues raised by the SEC regarding their accounting practices for a card misclassification matter that was disclosed in Discover's earnings release.

The reaffirmation of the Buy rating and the $190 price target by Citi reflects the firm's ongoing confidence in Capital One's financial outlook and strategic initiatives.

In other recent news, Capital One Financial Corp (NYSE:COF). has been the focus of significant developments. The company reported a robust third quarter for 2024, with a net income of $1.8 billion and a 5% increase in revenue, primarily from higher net interest income. On the other hand, the proposed acquisition of Discover Financial Services by Capital One, valued at $35.3 billion, is under investigation by the New York Attorney General, Letitia James, for potential violations of New York's antitrust laws.

The merger, which could form the largest credit card issuer in the United States, is also facing lawsuits from customers who argue that it would diminish competition and increase consumer costs. Both Capital One and Discover have expressed their intention to conclude the deal by early 2025, pending approval from shareholders and federal regulatory bodies.

InvestingPro Insights

Capital One Financial's recent performance and Citi's maintained Buy rating are supported by several key metrics from InvestingPro. The company's market capitalization stands at $61.52 billion, with a P/E ratio of 15.23, indicating a relatively attractive valuation compared to its earnings. This is further reinforced by an InvestingPro Tip highlighting that Capital One's valuation implies a strong free cash flow yield.

The company's financial health is underscored by its revenue of $26.5 billion over the last twelve months, with a modest revenue growth of 0.61%. Capital One's profitability is evident from its operating income margin of 20.62% and a return on assets of 0.91%. An InvestingPro Tip notes that Capital One has been profitable over the last twelve months, aligning with analysts' predictions of continued profitability this year.

Investors may find Capital One's dividend track record appealing, as the company has maintained dividend payments for 30 consecutive years. With a current dividend yield of 1.49%, it offers a steady income stream to shareholders. The stock's strong performance is reflected in its impressive 68.14% total return over the past year, positioning it near its 52-week high at 96.03%.

For those seeking more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers additional insights with 8 more tips available for Capital One Financial. These tips could provide valuable context for understanding the company's position in the Consumer Finance industry and its potential for future growth.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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