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Cantor gives The Trade Desk stock a neutral rating, cites growth uncertainty

Published 05/09/2024, 16:08
TTD
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On Thursday, Cantor Fitzgerald initiated coverage on The Trade Desk (NASDAQ:TTD) with a Neutral rating and a price target of $110.00. The firm recognized The Trade Desk's strong performance in the digital advertising space, highlighting its robust top-line growth and consistent margin expansion. The company has been capitalizing on several key trends within digital advertising, including the rise in Connected TV (CTV) viewership.

The Trade Desk's comprehensive suite of advertising technology offerings has been gaining steady adoption, which has contributed to its positive outlook. However, the firm noted potential challenges that could affect the company's growth trajectory in the next 12 to 18 months. These include a possible slowdown in the broader economic environment, which could impact digital advertising spending.

Despite the favorable execution and market trends, The Trade Desk's shares are trading at a significant premium compared to its peers. At 40 times the forecasted FY25E Pro Forma EBITDA, The Trade Desk's valuation is notably higher than the digital advertising and ad tech peer group average of 16 times.

Cantor Fitzgerald's price target is based on a target multiple of 40 times FY25E EBITDA, aligning with the current trading premium. This valuation reflects both the company's strong market position and the risks associated with potential macroeconomic headwinds.

In other recent news, The Trade Desk has seen significant developments. The company reported a 26% increase in Q2 sales, exceeding expectations, and an improved adjusted EBITDA margin of 41%. The firm has projected a Q3 revenue of $618 million and an expected adjusted EBITDA of around $248 million.

BofA Securities initiated coverage on The Trade Desk with a Buy rating, while Citi reiterated a Buy rating on the company, emphasizing the potential benefits of its new connected TV (CTV) strategy. Loop Capital, KeyBanc, Benchmark, and CFRA also raised their price targets, showing confidence in the company's growth trajectory.

The Trade Desk's growth is attributed to its innovative Kokai platform, partnership with Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), and the adoption of UID2, an alternative to traditional cookies. The company also expanded its workforce significantly, adding 1,500 employees over two years.

Despite challenges posed by economic uncertainty and browser compatibility issues with UID2, the firm maintains a positive outlook, supported by $1.5 billion in cash and no debt, along with a high customer retention rate of over 95%. This is a snapshot of the recent developments at The Trade Desk.

InvestingPro Insights

As The Trade Desk (NASDAQ:TTD) continues to navigate the competitive landscape of digital advertising, InvestingPro data and tips offer valuable insights for investors. The company holds a market capitalization of approximately $49.82 billion, underscoring its significant presence in the industry. With an impressive gross profit margin of 81.23% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, The Trade Desk showcases strong operational efficiency. Moreover, the company has experienced a robust revenue growth of 25.53% in the same period, indicating its ability to expand its top-line amidst a dynamic market environment.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that The Trade Desk's net income is expected to grow this year and that analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, signaling confidence in the company's financial prospects. Additionally, The Trade Desk's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, which provides financial flexibility and stability. For investors interested in exploring further, there are over 12 additional InvestingPro Tips available, offering deeper insights into The Trade Desk's financial health and market performance.

While the company is trading at a high earnings multiple, with a P/E ratio of 195.52, this valuation reflects The Trade Desk's strong market position and growth potential. Investors may also note that the company's shares are trading near their 52-week high, at 96.17% of the peak, which could suggest market optimism regarding its future trajectory. With the next earnings date set for November 7, 2024, stakeholders will be keenly awaiting further updates on the company's performance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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