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Cantor Fitzgerald cuts Humana shares PT by $31, cites 2025 guide uncertainties

Published 25/04/2024, 12:34
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On Thursday, Cantor Fitzgerald adjusted its price target for Humana (NYSE: NYSE:HUM), a leading health insurance provider, to $360 from the previous target of $391. The firm maintained a Neutral rating on the stock. The revision follows Humana's first-quarter earnings report, which showed the company outperforming the expected financial metrics for the quarter.

Humana reported earnings per share (EPS) of $7.23 for the first quarter of 2024, surpassing the FactSet consensus of $6.12. The company's revenue reached $29.6 billion, exceeding the expected $28.5 billion. Humana's medical loss ratio (MLR), a key measure of the amount spent on medical claims compared to the insurance premiums collected, was reported at 89.3%, slightly higher than the consensus of 88.9%.

Despite these positive results, concerns were raised regarding the lack of clarity on the company's outlook for 2025 and the degree of conservatism in its reserve assumptions. Cantor Fitzgerald's analyst noted that while Humana has maintained its full-year MLR at 90% and its EPS forecast of approximately $16, there remains some uncertainty around the new guidance for 2025.

Humana's performance in the first quarter has been in line with investor expectations, as the company also held its 2024 guidance steady. The analyst's comments reflect a cautious stance, acknowledging Humana's solid quarterly performance while also recognizing the potential risks that lie ahead. The company's financial health will continue to be monitored closely as it progresses through the fiscal year and provides further updates on its future guidance.

InvestingPro Insights

As Humana (NYSE: HUM) navigates the post-earnings landscape, real-time data from InvestingPro provides a deeper understanding of its market position and financial health. With a market capitalization of $38.08 billion and a forward-looking P/E ratio of 15.67, Humana demonstrates a strong presence in the healthcare industry. Notably, the company's revenue growth over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024 stands at a robust 14.22%, underscoring its ability to expand in a competitive environment.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Humana's proactive approach to shareholder value, with management aggressively buying back shares and the company holding more cash than debt on its balance sheet. Additionally, Humana has raised its dividend for 7 consecutive years and has maintained dividend payments for 14 consecutive years, indicating a commitment to returning value to investors. These strategic financial decisions, combined with the fact that Humana is trading near its 52-week low, could present an opportunity for investors looking for value in the healthcare sector.

For those seeking comprehensive analysis and additional insights, InvestingPro offers a total of 9 InvestingPro Tips for Humana, which can be accessed at https://www.investing.com/pro/HUM. Interested readers can use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, unlocking further valuable information to inform their investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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