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BofA highlights AI server strength amid margin pressures for HP Enterprise stock

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 05/09/2024, 11:26
HPE
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On Thursday, BofA Securities adjusted its outlook on HP (NYSE:HPQ) Enterprise (NYSE:HPE), reducing the price target to $21 from $24 while sustaining a Neutral rating on the company's stock. The firm's analysis highlighted a balance of positive and negative factors influencing this decision.

The positives outlined by the firm include robust demand for AI servers, with third-quarter revenue in this segment reaching $1.3 billion, a 39% increase from the previous quarter, and accounting for approximately 30% of the total server revenue.

Additionally, HP Enterprise is witnessing growing opportunities with enterprises and sovereigns, which is expected to enhance margins as this mix expands. Good operational expense control is also seen as a factor that could help mitigate gross margin pressures.

On the flip side, BofA Securities noted several negatives impacting HP Enterprise. Gross margins are facing headwinds due to a less favorable product mix, with a lower proportion of Intelligent Edge (IE) sales and a higher mix of AI servers.

Free cash flow in the third fiscal quarter, while above $600 million, fell short of the firm's expectations. Furthermore, the margins within the Intelligent Edge segment remain weak, having declined by 520 basis points year-over-year in the third fiscal quarter.

The firm's stance reflects a cautious optimism about HP Enterprise's ability to navigate the challenges ahead, with a recognition of both the strengths and weaknesses in its current business model. The revised price target of $21 represents a tempered expectation for the company's stock performance in the near term.

In other recent news, Hewlett Packard Enterprise (NYSE:HPE) has reported robust growth in its third-quarter fiscal year 2024 performance. The company's revenue increased by 10% year-over-year, reaching $7.7 billion, and it exceeded its non-GAAP diluted net earnings per share (EPS) guidance by $0.02.

Additionally, HPE generated a substantial free cash flow of $660 million and announced a dividend of $0.30 per share. In light of these developments, the company has raised its full-year guidance for both GAAP and non-GAAP EPS.

HPE's strategic advancements such as the sale of part of its equity in H3C and the pending acquisition of Juniper Networks (NYSE:JNPR) have contributed to its growth and optimistic outlook. The company's AI system revenues saw a significant increase, reaching $1.3 billion, a 40% increase from the previous quarter.

However, it's important to note that the Hybrid Cloud segment saw a revenue decline of 7% year-over-year, and the Intelligent Edge segment experienced a 23% year-over-year revenue drop.

These are some of the recent developments that have shaped HPE's performance and outlook. The company is expected to close the Juniper Networks acquisition between late 2024 and early 2025, which is projected to positively impact margins and non-GAAP EPS. As these developments unfold, investors will be keenly watching the company's strategic moves and financial performance.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of BofA Securities' revised outlook on HP Enterprise (NYSE:HPE), current InvestingPro data and tips offer additional context for investors. The company's market capitalization stands at a robust $24.39 billion, a testament to its significant presence in the market. A notable InvestingPro Tip highlights HPE's current trading at a low P/E ratio of 13.4 relative to its near-term earnings growth potential, suggesting that the stock may be undervalued. Additionally, HPE's valuation implies a strong free cash flow yield, which could be attractive to investors seeking companies with the potential for liquidity and investment in growth or dividends.

InvestingPro data also shows a dividend yield of 2.77%, with a history of maintaining dividend payments for 10 consecutive years, signaling a commitment to returning value to shareholders. While recent revenue growth has seen a slight decline of 4.36% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, the company has managed to maintain a healthy gross profit margin of 34.97%. These metrics, combined with the fact that analysts predict the company will be profitable this year and it has been profitable over the last twelve months, provide a balanced view of HPE's financial health and future prospects.

For those interested in a deeper analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available, including insights into HPE's position as a prominent player in the Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals industry. To explore these further, one can visit the dedicated InvestingPro page for HP Enterprise at https://www.investing.com/pro/HPE.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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