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BofA forecasts higher 2024 OPEX for NIO, trims stock price target

Published 28/05/2024, 17:44
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NIO
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On Tuesday, BofA Securities revised its price target for NIO Inc. (NYSE: NIO), a prominent electric vehicle manufacturer, down to $5.90 from the previous $6.50. Despite the reduced price target, the firm maintained a Neutral rating on the stock.

BofA Securities highlighted that NIO experienced stronger-than-expected sales in the second quarter of 2024, which was attributed to two key factors. Firstly, the company saw a significant influx of orders in April and May following the launch of its 2024-version electric vehicle (EV) models.

Additionally, the firm noted that NIO's decision to slash its Battery as a Service (BaaS) leasing prices by up to 33% since late March has positively impacted sales figures. As a result of these trends, BofA Securities has increased its sales volume forecast for NIO in 2024 by 6%, expecting the company to sell 193,000 units.

However, the firm also anticipates that NIO's operating expenses (OPEX) for the year 2024 will exceed previous estimates. The revised OPEX-to-revenue ratio is now projected at 41.6%, up from the earlier forecast of 34.8%.

The increase in operating expenses is largely due to heightened sales and marketing costs in the second half of 2024 for NIO's new brand, Onvo. Additionally, the company is expected to maintain robust research and development (R&D) expenses, totaling RMB 13.7 billion.

The adjustment in the price target reflects a balance between the positive sales outlook for NIO's electric vehicles and the projected increase in operating expenses. The company's efforts in launching new models and strategically reducing leasing prices appear to be effectively bolstering sales volumes. However, the impact of these strategies on the company's profitability and expense management remains a focal point for investors and market analysts.

InvestingPro Insights

As NIO Inc. (NYSE: NIO) navigates through a period of significant sales growth and rising operating expenses, insights from InvestingPro offer a clearer picture of the company's financial health and market performance. According to InvestingPro Data, NIO holds a market capitalization of approximately $9.99 billion USD, reflecting its standing as a prominent player in the Automobiles industry. Despite the positive sales volume forecast by BofA Securities, NIO's recent financial metrics indicate challenges ahead. The company's gross profit margin for the last twelve months as of Q4 2023 stands at a relatively low 5.49%, which aligns with BofA Securities' concerns regarding NIO's profitability amidst increased operating expenses.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that while NIO maintains more cash than debt on its balance sheet, it is quickly burning through cash, which may raise questions about its long-term financial sustainability. Additionally, the stock has experienced considerable volatility, with a 1-week price total return showing an 8% decline. This type of market performance may be a testament to the risks associated with investing in the fast-evolving EV sector. Furthermore, analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, emphasizing the need for potential investors to consider the implications of NIO's cash burn and earnings revisions on their investment decisions.

For those looking to delve deeper into NIO's financials and market prospects, InvestingPro offers an array of additional tips, with a total of 12 tips available that can provide a more comprehensive analysis of the company. To access these insights and enhance your investment strategy, consider subscribing to InvestingPro using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription. Stay informed on the latest developments and make more educated decisions in the dynamic landscape of the electric vehicle industry.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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