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BMO Capital lowers CAE shares target on supply-chain concerns

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 18/07/2024, 14:40
CAE
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On Thursday, BMO Capital Markets adjusted its outlook on CAE Inc . (NYSE:CAE:CN) (NYSE: CAE) shares, lowering the price target to Cdn$33.00 from the previous Cdn$34.00, yet the firm continues to see the stock in a positive light with an Outperform rating.

The adjustment reflects anticipated changes in the civil aviation market, where demand is expected to slow slightly due to ongoing supply-chain issues faced by aircraft manufacturers. These challenges are likely to impact pilot training demand, a key area for CAE.

The company, known for its aviation training and flight simulator technology, is expected to navigate these headwinds effectively. Despite the forecasted moderation in demand, BMO Capital Markets anticipates that CAE will maintain its course towards achieving its goal of double-digit EBIT growth in its Civil segment. This optimism is underpinned by the belief that the company's focus on network optimization will pay off.

The analyst's commentary suggests that order intake for CAE will remain strong, which is a positive sign for the company's performance. Furthermore, stability in the Defense segment's margins is predicted to continue on a quarter-over-quarter basis, with a gradual improvement projected through the fiscal year 2025.

The report also notes that while the aviation industry faces supply-chain challenges, which may temper the growth pace, CAE's strategic measures are in place to mitigate the impact. The firm's emphasis on network optimization and robust order intake are key factors that support the Outperform rating despite the slight reduction in the price target.

In summary, BMO Capital Markets has slightly adjusted its price target for CAE Inc. reflecting short-term industry challenges, but maintains a positive outlook on the company's ability to achieve its financial targets and sustain growth in the coming years.

In other recent news, CAE Inc. has been awarded a significant contract worth at least $250 million by General Atomics Aeronautical Systems. The contract, spanning nine years with options for additional years, involves providing comprehensive support for the MQ-9B SkyGuardian Remotely Piloted Aircraft Systems acquired by the Canadian government.

The company's responsibilities include delivering aircrew and maintenance technician training, as well as providing experienced maintenance technicians to support the Royal Canadian Air Force.

In financial developments, CAE recently reported its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for fiscal year 2024. The company announced a 13% year-over-year increase in adjusted backlog and $1.6 billion in orders for the quarter. Despite challenges in the Defense segment, CAE saw a revenue increase of 6% in Q4 in its Civil segment, with orders worth $832 million.

BMO Capital maintained an Outperform rating for CAE, highlighting the Civil segment's robust outlook as a key driver of the company's valuation. Despite ongoing underperformance in the Defense segment, the firm believes the Civil segment's strength will continue to bolster CAE's overall performance. These are recent developments that investors should be aware of.

InvestingPro Insights

As CAE Inc. (NYSE: CAE) navigates the evolving dynamics of the civil aviation market, current data from InvestingPro provides additional context for investors. With a market capitalization of $6.09 billion, CAE's financial health and stock performance offer a mixed picture. The company's P/E ratio stands at -27.3, indicating that it has not been profitable over the last twelve months, a detail in line with one of the InvestingPro Tips that highlights the company's lack of profitability during this period. However, analysts predict a turnaround with expectations of growth in net income this year.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that while CAE's stock price movements have been quite volatile, there is an anticipation of profitability, as reflected in the adjusted forward P/E ratio of 27.07. It's worth noting that CAE does not offer dividends, which may be a consideration for income-focused investors. Additionally, CAE's short-term obligations currently exceed its liquid assets, which could be a point of concern for those assessing the company's immediate financial stability.

For investors looking for a deeper dive into CAE's financials and future prospects, there are more InvestingPro Tips available. By using the exclusive coupon code PRONEWS24, readers can get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription, providing access to a comprehensive set of insights that could inform investment decisions. With 4 analysts having revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, staying informed with the latest analysis and metrics is crucial.

As CAE continues to implement strategic measures to counteract industry headwinds, the latest data and expert analysis from InvestingPro can be a valuable resource for investors monitoring the company's progress towards achieving its financial targets.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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