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BlackSky's profitability impresses despite revenue shortfall, says analyst

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 09/09/2024, 14:32
BKSY
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On Monday, Lake Street Capital Markets maintained a positive stance on BlackSky Technology Inc. (NYSE:BKSY), reiterating its Buy rating and a price target of $4.00. The firm highlighted BlackSky's achievement of its third consecutive quarter of positive Adjusted Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (AEBITDA), despite a slight miss in revenue for the quarter.


The analyst from Lake Street Capital Markets pointed to the company's profitability metrics as an indication of the potential within BlackSky's business model. The firm expressed confidence in the company's trajectory, anticipating an acceleration of growth in 2025 that is expected to further improve financial leverage.


Despite the revenue shortfall, the firm's outlook remains optimistic based on BlackSky's continued top-line growth and improving AEBITDA. The current stock valuation, at 1.6 times the enterprise value to projected 2025 revenue, is seen as an opportunity for significant multiple expansion.


Lake Street Capital Markets underscored its view that BlackSky is on track to accelerate growth and enhance its business model leverage. The reiterated Buy rating and $4 price target reflect the firm's expectation of BlackSky's potential for strong financial performance in the upcoming years.


In other recent news, BlackSky Technology Inc. reported a 29% year-over-year revenue growth in the second quarter of 2024, reaching a total of $24.9 million. This substantial increase is primarily due to strong demand for its space-based intelligence solutions, particularly from government customers globally. Moreover, BlackSky has secured $40 million in new contracts and extensions, contributing to a positive adjusted EBITDA for the third consecutive quarter.


The company also announced the approval of a 1-for-8 reverse stock split of its Class A common stock by its Board of Directors. The reverse stock split will consolidate every eight shares of issued Class A common stock into one new share, with no alteration to the number of authorized shares or the par value per share.


In addition to these developments, BlackSky is preparing for the launch of its next-generation Gen-3 satellites. This move is expected to further boost the company's growth, as reflected in the doubling of international customer revenues compared to the previous year. Despite uncertainties, such as the timing of large contracts, BlackSky maintains its full-year 2024 revenue guidance between $102 million and $118 million. These recent developments indicate a strong trajectory for BlackSky.


InvestingPro Insights


As Lake Street Capital Markets maintains a favorable outlook on BlackSky Technology Inc. (NYSE:BKSY), insights from InvestingPro highlight some critical aspects of the company's financial health and market performance. BlackSky's impressive gross profit margin, which stands at 69.14% for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, suggests a strong ability to control costs relative to revenue. Additionally, the company's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, indicating a solid liquidity position that could support operational needs and investments.


However, the company operates with a significant debt burden and may face challenges in making interest payments, which is a concern for investors. This is reflected in the company's negative P/E ratio of -3.9, suggesting that investors are wary of future profitability. Moreover, the stock has experienced substantial price volatility, with a notable decline over the last week and a 30.05% drop in the one-week total price return as of the end of 2024.


For those looking to delve deeper into the financial intricacies of BlackSky, InvestingPro offers additional tips and metrics. There are 18 more InvestingPro Tips available for BlackSky, providing a comprehensive analysis for investors considering this stock. To explore these insights in detail, investors can visit https://www.investing.com/pro/BKSY.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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