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Baird reaffirms Neutral on Rexford Industrial shares, sees entry point

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 22/10/2024, 13:30
REXR
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On Tuesday, Baird reiterated a Neutral rating on Rexford Industrial Realty (NYSE:REXR) shares, maintaining the $52.00 price target for the company's shares. The firm's stance comes amidst a recent downturn in the stock, which analysts see as a potential trading opportunity.

The Southern California industrial real estate market faces short-term challenges, and negative sentiment has impacted Rexford's stock. However, Baird views the current risk/reward balance for the company's shares as attractive given their recent trading price.

The analyst highlighted that at the current price of $45 per share, the market seems to have factored in an overly pessimistic scenario. This market sentiment does not account for the inherent value that could be unlocked from Rexford's redevelopment initiatives and the potential for the company to realize gains from adjusting rents to market rates within its core portfolio.

Despite not anticipating an immediate positive shift in the market fundamentals, Baird suggests that the lower entry point could be beneficial for investors.

Rexford Industrial Realty specializes in acquiring, owning, and operating industrial properties in Southern California. The company's focus includes value-add and redeveloped projects that are designed to create value over time. The analyst's comments suggest that the market has not fully appreciated the potential gains from these projects in the company's valuation.

The Baird analyst's commentary underscores the notion that the current share price does not reflect the potential upside from Rexford's strategic initiatives. The market's current pricing overlooks the company's capacity to enhance value through its redevelopment pipeline and to achieve higher rents in its existing properties.

In conclusion, Baird sees the present share price as an opportunity for traders, despite the near-term headwinds facing the Southern California industrial real estate market. The firm's reiterated Neutral rating and $52.00 price target on Rexford Industrial Realty reflect a belief in the company's value proposition at the current price level, amidst a challenging market environment.

In other recent news, Rexford Industrial Realty has witnessed significant developments. The company reported a 5.4% year-over-year increase in funds from operations (FFO) for the third quarter, reaching $0.59 per share, and raised its full-year 2023 FFO guidance to between $2.33 and $2.35 per share, indicating a 7% year-over-year growth.

Despite a 7.5% year-over-year drop in market rents, Rexford projects $222 million in internal cash NOI growth over the next three years.

In terms of executive changes, Rexford Industrial appointed Michael Fitzmaurice as the new Chief Financial Officer and promoted Laura Clark to Chief Operating Officer. Fitzmaurice brings a wealth of experience from his previous roles in prominent real estate investment trusts, while Clark's promotion follows her successful four-year tenure as CFO.

On the analyst front, BofA Securities downgraded Rexford's stock from Buy to Neutral and reduced the price target to $49.00, citing a slower-than-expected demand recovery in the Los Angeles market.

Conversely, Evercore ISI maintained an Outperform rating for Rexford, albeit with a reduced price target of $55.00, expressing confidence in the company's future performance. These are the recent developments that investors should keep an eye on.

InvestingPro Insights

Adding to Baird's analysis, InvestingPro data provides further context on Rexford Industrial Realty's financial position. The company's market capitalization stands at $10.16 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the Southern California industrial real estate market. Despite the recent stock downturn, Rexford has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a 18.01% increase over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024, aligning with the analyst's view on the company's value creation potential.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Rexford has raised its dividend for 12 consecutive years, which may appeal to income-focused investors during market uncertainty. Additionally, the company's liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, suggesting financial stability that could support its ongoing redevelopment initiatives.

However, investors should note that Rexford is trading at a high P/E ratio of 36.68, which could indicate that the market still has high expectations for future growth despite recent challenges. This valuation metric aligns with Baird's cautious Neutral rating.

For those seeking a deeper understanding of Rexford's financial health and growth prospects, InvestingPro offers 5 additional tips that could provide valuable insights for investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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