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Baird raises Guidewire shares target on strong growth

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 06/06/2024, 12:32
GWRE
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On Thursday, Baird increased its price target for Guidewire (NYSE:GWRE) Software Inc. (NYSE:GWRE) shares to $152 from the previous target of $140, while maintaining an Outperform rating on the stock.

The firm's analyst cited the company's Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) of $828 million, which marked a 15% year-over-year increase, surpassing the consensus estimate of $818 million. This performance was highlighted as a more significant beat than in the first and second quarters.

Guidewire's subscription gross margins also impressed, reaching 65% compared to 55% year-over-year and exceeding the consensus of 64%.

The third-quarter sales activity for the company was robust, featuring accelerating migrations and strong activity with Tier-1 clients.

Looking ahead, the analyst noted that Guidewire's outlook for the fiscal year 2024, ending in July, has been revised upwards. The company now expects its ARR to be between $856 million and $864 million, representing approximately a 13% increase year-over-year, which is slightly above the prior range of $852 million to $862 million and consensus estimates of $857 million.

Operating cash flow (OCF) projections were also raised significantly to $130 million to $150 million, a substantial jump from $38 million year-over-year, aligning closely with the consensus of $138 million.

The analyst anticipates continued deal momentum into the fourth fiscal quarter, with ramped contracts likely to benefit future ARR. The fully-ramped contract values are expected to increase at or above 16% year-over-year. Guidewire's goal of achieving $1 billion in ARR by fiscal year 2025 is reportedly still on track, according to the firm's commentary.

In other recent news, Guidewire Software, Inc. has reported strong fiscal third-quarter earnings, with total revenue surpassing forecasts by 5% and Non-GAAP operating income exceeding expectations by a significant 160%.

As a result, DA Davidson has increased Guidewire's price target to $142 from $136 and maintained a Buy rating. The robust performance has led to DA Davidson revising their financial projections upward for the next two years.

Similarly, Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) has increased its price target for Guidewire to $140 from $130, citing strong deal momentum and the maturation of the company's cloud infrastructure.

RBC Capital has maintained an Outperform rating and a $130 price target, attributing the company's success to momentum in cloud services and increased customer migration activities.

Oppenheimer has also raised its price target to $140 due to the company's higher-than-anticipated Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) of $828 million.

Guidewire's strong financial performance has been driven by a 33% year-over-year increase in InsuranceSuite cloud deals, exceeding prior guidance on all metrics. These recent developments underscore Guidewire's robust operational execution and potential for sustained growth.

InvestingPro Insights

Guidewire Software Inc . (NYSE:GWRE) has been a topic of bullish sentiment among some analysts, as highlighted by the recent price target increase from Baird. In the realm of real-time data, GWRE's market capitalization stands at a robust $10.54 billion, underscoring its significant presence in the software industry. Additionally, the company has demonstrated a commendable revenue growth of 8.97% over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024, indicating a steady upward trajectory in its financial performance.

InvestingPro Tips further enrich this positive outlook, with 10 analysts having revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, suggesting a consensus of confidence in the company's growth potential. Moreover, GWRE is anticipated to achieve profitability this year, which could be a pivotal milestone for investors to consider. The company has also seen a substantial return over the last year, with a 74.15% price total return, reflecting strong investor enthusiasm.

For those looking to delve deeper into the financials and forecasts for Guidewire Software Inc., InvestingPro offers additional tips that could guide investment decisions. Investors can utilize the special coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, gaining access to a wealth of insights and analytics. With several more InvestingPro Tips available, this tool could be invaluable for staying informed on GWRE's performance and potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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