On Thursday, Baird retained its Outperform rating on shares of REV Group (NYSE:REVG), with a price target of $32.00. The firm cited the company's operational performance and slight EBITDA guidance increase as positive factors.
The strength observed in the Fire & Emergency segment, with legacy Fire & Emergency sales growing in the low-mid-teens percentage range and margins improving by 100 basis points sequentially, was noted as a key driver. However, this was tempered by the continued decline in the Recreation segment, where sales dropped by more than 30% and margins decreased by 220 basis points year-over-year.
Despite the mixed performance in different segments of the business, Baird expressed a continued positive outlook for REV Group. The firm emphasized the potential for significant margin, earnings per share (EPS), and free cash flow (FCF) growth through the fiscal year 2026. The firm's analysis suggests that the stock should eventually trade closer to the mid-$30s, not taking into account any potential asset sales or future mergers and acquisitions that might occur.
The report highlighted the contrast between the robust performance in REV Group's Fire & Emergency segment and the challenges faced in the Recreation segment. The Fire & Emergency division's legacy operations not only grew in sales but also saw a sequential improvement in profit margins. On the other hand, the Recreation division experienced a notable decline in both sales and profitability compared to the previous year.
Baird's projection for REV Group's stock value is based on the company's anticipated financial improvements over the next several years. The firm's stance is that the current market valuation does not fully reflect REV Group's earnings potential and the expected expansion in margins and free cash flow.
In summary, Baird has reaffirmed its confidence in REV Group's prospects, maintaining its Outperform rating and a price target of $32.00. The firm's assessment is grounded in the company's recent operational achievements, future financial projections, and the expectation of continued growth, particularly in the Fire & Emergency segment.
In other recent news, REV Group, a specialty vehicles manufacturer, reported varied financial results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2024. Despite a significant sales decline in the recreational vehicle market, the company's Specialty Vehicles segment, particularly its ambulance and fire group businesses, showed improved performance. The consolidated backlog of orders remained strong at $4.4 billion, primarily driven by orders for fire and emergency vehicles.
Furthermore, the company's net debt stood at $165 million, with an expectation to maintain leverage below 1x. Looking ahead, REV Group anticipates modest sequential revenue growth and a slightly higher specialty vehicles margin as the fiscal year closes. The company also forecasts full-year revenue between $2.35 billion and $2.45 billion, with adjusted EBITDA guidance of $155 million to $165 million.
Despite challenges, the company plans mid-single-digit pricing increases for fire and ambulance services in 2025 to counteract inflationary pressures. The company also revealed that ambulance production has returned to pre-COVID rates, while fire production is focusing on improving efficiency. These are among the recent developments that shape REV Group's current financial landscape.
InvestingPro Insights
As Baird maintains an Outperform rating for REV Group, with a price target of $32.00, real-time data and insights from InvestingPro further enrich the analysis of the company's financial health and stock performance. REV Group's market capitalization stands at approximately $1.39 billion, reflecting the size and scale of the company within its industry.
The stock is currently trading at a P/E ratio of 6.44, which suggests that it may be undervalued when compared to industry averages. This is supported by an InvestingPro Tip highlighting that REV Group is trading at a low earnings multiple.
InvestingPro Tips also reveal that management has been actively buying back shares and the company boasts a high shareholder yield, indicators that could signal confidence in the company's future performance and a commitment to returning value to shareholders. Additionally, the company's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, providing financial flexibility and stability.
While the stock has experienced significant volatility, with a price total return of -14.21% over the last week, it has also seen a large price uptick of 29.97% over the last six months, and an impressive 139.63% return over the past year. These metrics suggest a strong recovery and potential for further growth, aligning with Baird's positive outlook for the company's financial improvements and stock value appreciation.
For investors seeking a deeper dive into REV Group's performance and future prospects, InvestingPro offers additional insights and tips, which can be found at InvestingPro's REV Group page.
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