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Oil prices rebound, but weekly losses likely as demand concerns persist

Published 09/11/2023, 01:56
Updated 09/11/2023, 14:44
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Investing.com -- Oil prices rose Thursday, recovering from near four-month lows although concerns over a slowdown in global crude demand remain.

By 03:20 ET (xx.xx GMT), the U.S. crude futures traded 1.1% higher at $76.15 a barrel, while the Brent contract climbed 1.1% to $80.35 a barrel. 

Both contracts fell in the previous session to their lowest levels since late July, with Brent briefly trading below the key $80 a barrel level.

Global crude demand slows

Despite today’s gains, the market is on course for hefty losses this week following data from the American Petroleum Institute, an industry body, showing U.S. crude inventories registering their biggest weekly build since February, almost 12 million barrels in the week to Nov. 3. 

The API data signaled some cooling in U.S. fuel consumption, especially as the winter season approaches. The official numbers from the Energy Information Administration are now due next week, after being delayed.

Additionally, China, the world's biggest oil importer, fell back into disinflationary territory in October, according to data released earlier Thursday, indicating that the country’s recovery is wavering despite repeated efforts from Beijing to improve economic growth.

The inflation readings came just a few days after disappointing trade data from the country. While China’s oil imports still remained steady, analysts warned of a potential slowdown in crude demand, especially with high stockpiles and potentially lower export quotas for refiners.

In Europe, data released this week showed weak retail sales and a downturn in eurozone business activity last month, suggesting there is a growing chance of a recession in this important energy consuming region.

OPEC’s growth assurances disregarded

These concerns about a slowing global economy, and thus falling crude demand, meant that bullish assurances from the Organization of Petroleum Countries were largely disregarded.

The United States is doing well, while Europe is struggling, Haitham Al Ghais told the Argus European Crude Conference in London. Even China, which has emerged from lockdown more slowly than expected, forecasts growth at 4.5% to 5%, he said, outstripping Europe.

"When we talk about demand and our outlook, maybe for the short term to medium term, we still see a healthy global economy growing despite all the challenges and pressures," he said.

Powell could move crude prices

Investors are also keeping an eye on the movements of the U.S. dollar, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell set to speak later in the session.

The U.S. currency has made something of a comeback this week, making crude more expensive for foreign buyers, after a series of Federal Reserve policymakers indicated the need for monetary policy to stay restrictive for some time to combat still elevated inflation.

The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell last week as the labor market continued to show few signs of a significant slowdown, data showed Thursday.

(Ambar Warrick contributed to this article.)

 

 

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