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Oil prices little changed before U.S. weekly inventory report

Published 21/12/2016, 15:25
© Reuters. An employee pumps petrol for clients at a petrol station in Hanoi
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By Scott DiSavino

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Oil futures held mostly steady on Wednesday as the market waits for direction from a U.S. crude inventory report that is expected to show a big draw.

Analysts estimate U.S. commercial crude inventories probably fell by 2.5 million barrels, down for the fifth straight week, according to a Reuters poll. [EIA/S]

The U.S. Energy Information Administration will release its weekly petroleum status report at 10:30 a.m. EST (1530 GMT). [EIA/S]

Brent (LCOc1) futures for February delivery were up 1 cent at $55.36 a barrel at 9:51 a.m. EST (1451 GMT). U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude for February rose 18 cents, or 0.3 percent, to $53.48 per barrel.

The American Petroleum Institute industry group late on Tuesday reported a much larger-than-expected 4.1-million-barrel crude draw that analysts said carried U.S. WTI to a one-week high earlier in the session. [API/S]

Even though the February WTI futures were little changed, the U.S. front-month (CLc1) was up more than 2 percent and trading at its highest level in more than a week due to the contract roll from lower-priced January to higher-priced February on Tuesday.

That puts the front-month on track for its fourth day of gains in a row, rising about 5 percent since Friday.

"This week's trade has thus far provided no surprises as reduced holiday volume has been contributing to some narrow trading ranges," Jim Ritterbusch, president of Chicago-based energy advisory firm Ritterbusch & Associates, said in a report.

"While today's EIA report could pop price volatility a notch, we don't expect major price impact," Ritterbusch said.

Hourly volume in the front-month contract was around 2,300 lots on Wednesday, compared with a historical average of 2,400 for the second half of December, according to trading data from the InterContinental Exchange.

French bank Societe Generale (PA:SOGN) said the agreement between the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other leading producers to cut output in January should keep crude prices in the $50-to-$60 range in 2017.

Oil markets are expected to remain well-supplied despite the planned reductions.

Russia's 2016 oil output is expected to total 547.5 million tonnes (11 million barrels per day), a 2.5 percent increase from last year, Energy Minister Alexander Novak told reporters late on Tuesday.

© Reuters. An employee pumps petrol for clients at a petrol station in Hanoi

Taking advantage of plentiful and relatively cheap crude, refiners especially in Asia are churning out more fuel than the market can absorb.

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