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Gold / Silver / Copper futures - weekly outlook: January 9 - 13

CommoditiesJan 08, 2017 12:07
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© Reuters. Gold weakens after U.S. jobs report; still posts weekly gain - Gold prices fell on Friday, retreating from the previous sessions one-month highs as the dollar strengthened against a currency basket after U.S. jobs data showed a slowdown in hiring in December but a pickup in wage growth.

Gold for February delivery settled down 0.73% at $1,172.65 on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.

The metal was still 1.97% higher for the week, its best weekly performance in two months, helped by a broad weakening of the dollar earlier in the week.

The Labor Department said Friday the U.S. economy added 156,000 jobs in December, falling short of economists forecast for jobs growth of 178,000.

The report also showed that the annual rate of wage growth rose to 2.9% in December from a year earlier, the strongest since 2009.

The employment data indicated that the economy is improving enough for the Federal Reserve to keep pushing up interest rates.

The Fed has indicated that three quarter-percentage-point interest rate increases are on the cards for 2017.

Higher rates boost the dollar by making the currency more attractive to yield-seeking investors.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, jumped 0.77% to 102.17 late Friday.

The index had fallen in the previous two sessions after touching a 14-year high of 103.82 on Tuesday.

Both a strong dollar and higher interest rates are typically bearish for gold, which is denominated in dollars and struggles to compete with yield-bearing assets when borrowing costs rise.

Elsewhere in precious metals trading, palladium ended at a five-week high of $758.35 late Friday.

The metal, which is used in vehicle catalysts to clean exhaust emissions ended the week with gains of around 11% after data showing U.S. sales of new cars and trucks hit a record high in 2016.

Silver was down 0.73% at $16.52 a troy ounce late Friday, after touching highs of $16.76 in the previous session, its highest since December 15.

Copper was up 0.18% at $2.54 a pound and ended the week up 1.6%.

Platinum was down 0.32% on the day at $972.85 an ounce but was up almost 7.5% for the week. The metal touched its highest since November 11 at $979.75 on Thursday.

In the week ahead, investors will be looking ahead to U.S. economic reports, particularly Friday’s retail sales figures for December.

Investors will also be watching an appearance by Fed Chair Janet Yellen on Thursday and speeches by a handful of other Fed officials during the week.

Ahead of the coming week, has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets.

Monday, January 9

Financial markets in Japan will be closed for a holiday.

Australia is to release data on building approvals.

The U.K. is to release industry data on house price inflation.

Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren and Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart are to speak.

Tuesday, January 10

Australia is to report on retail sales.

China is to release data on consumer and producer prices.

Canada is to publish figures on building permits.

Also Wednesday, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump is scheduled to hold his first post-election news conference, which investors will be watching for any hints about the possible direction of economic policy.

Wednesday, January 11

The U.K. is to release a report on manufacturing and industrial production as well as trade data.

Thursday, January 12

The European Central Bank is to publish the minutes of its last monetary policy meeting.

Canada is to report on new house price inflation.

The U.S. is to release the weekly jobless claims report along with data on import prices.

Fed Chair Janet Yellen is to speak at an event in Washington.

Also Thursday, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans, Atlanta Fed's Dennis Lockhart, St. Louis Fed President

James Bullard and Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan are due to speak.

Friday, January 13

China is to report on the trade balance.

The U.S. is to round up the week with reports on retail sales, producer prices and a preliminary look at consumer sentiment.

Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker is also to speak.

Gold / Silver / Copper futures - weekly outlook: January 9 - 13

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