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Gold / Silver / Copper futures - weekly outlook: January 2 - 6

Published 01/01/2017, 11:25
Updated 01/01/2017, 11:32
Gold rises 9% in 2016, ends three-year losing streak
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Investing.com - Gold prices slid on Friday as investors took profits at the end of a year which saw bullion prices rise around 9%, snapping three years of declines.

Gold for February delivery settled down 0.53% at $1,152.00 on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices were up around 9.8% for the year.

Gold prices soared in the first half of 2016 as the Federal Reserve remained cautious on raising interest rates and prices of the precious metal hit a two-year peak in July as Britain’s vote to exit the European Union spurred a flight to safety.

But gold prices fell almost 8% in November amid rising U.S. bond yields and a rally in stock markets on the back of expectations for ramped up fiscal spending under the incoming Trump administration.

Gold prices tumbled to 10-month lows on December 15 after the Fed hiked interest rates and signaled that it expects to raise rates more quickly than previously anticipated in 2017.

Higher rates boost the dollar by making the currency more attractive to yield-seeking investors.

Both a strong dollar and higher interest rates are typically bearish for gold, which is denominated in dollars and struggles to compete with yield-bearing assets when borrowing costs rise.

Elsewhere in precious metals trading, silver was down 1.57% at $15.96 a troy ounce late Friday, but ended the year with gains of around 15%, the biggest annual increase since 2010.

Copper was up 0.76% at $2.5 a pound and ended the year up around 19%.

Palladium ended at $680.32 an ounce and rose more than 29% for the year, making it the best annual performer.

Platinum was up 0.36% on the day at $905.65 an ounce and was up 4.38% for the year.

In the week ahead, investors will be looking ahead to Friday’s U.S. employment report for December along with Wednesday’s minutes of the Fed’s December meeting.

U.S. data on manufacturing and service sector activity will also be in focus.

Market watchers will also be awaiting euro zone inflation data on survey data from the UK on manufacturing, service and construction sector activity.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets.

Monday, January 2

Financial markets around the world will be closed for the New Year holiday.

Tuesday, January 3

Financial markets in New Zealand and Japan will remain closed for holidays.

China is to publish its Caixin manufacturing PMI.

In the euro zone, Germany is to release preliminary inflation data and a report on the change in the number of people unemployed.

The U.K. is to release survey data on manufacturing activity.

The Institute for Supply Management is to release data on manufacturing activity.

Wednesday, January 4

The U.K. is to release survey data on construction activity.

The euro zone is to release preliminary data on inflation.

The Federal Reserve is to publish the minutes of its December meeting.

Thursday, January 5

China is to publish its Caixin services PMI.

The U.K. is to release survey data on service sector activity.

The U.S. is to release the ADP nonfarm payroll report and data on jobless claims. The ISM is to report on non-manufacturing activity.

Friday, January 6

Australia is to release trade data.

Germany is to report on factory orders and retail sales.

Canada is to publish its monthly jobs report along with trade data.

The U.S. is to round up the week with the closely watched report on nonfarm payrolls as well as data on trade and factory orders.

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