🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

Crude Oil Prices - Weekly Outlook: June 25 - 29

Published 24/06/2018, 11:16
© Reuters.  Oil ends week higher as traders cheer modest output hike
GE
-
LCO
-
CL
-

Investing.com - Oil markets will focus on the fallout from last week's decision by major producers to start pumping more crude to compensate for losses in global production.

Oil ministers from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Russia and other major producing countries agreed on Friday on a modest increase in oil production from next month.

In a statement following its meeting in Vienna, OPEC said that it would go back to 100% compliance with previously agreed output cuts but gave no concrete figures, making it difficult to understand how much more it will pump.

Saudi Arabia said the move would translate into a nominal output rise of around 1 million barrels per day (bpd). Iraq said the real increase would be around 770,000 bpd because several countries that had suffered production declines would struggle to reach full quotas.

The deal gave a tacit green light to Saudi Arabia, OPEC's de-facto leader, to produce more than currently allowed by OPEC as the 14-nation organization avoided setting individual country targets.

OPEC and non-OPEC producers have been curbing output by about 1.8 million bpd since January 2017 to prop up oil prices and reduce high global oil stocks.

Oil prices soared on Friday, with U.S. prices enjoying their biggest daily gain since November 2016, as the output boost was seen as smaller than markets had initially expected.

U.S. benchmark oil, August West Texas Intermediate crude surged $3.04, or around 4.6%, to settle at $68.58 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It saw its highest finish in around a month and gained about 5.8% for the week.

Elsewhere, September Brent crude, the global benchmark, jumped $2.52, or 3.4%, to end at $75.32 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange. They enjoyed a gain of roughly 2.9% for the week.

Oil traders will also continue to weigh U.S. production levels in the week ahead after the number of active U.S. rigs drilling for oil fell by 1 last week to 862, General Electric (NYSE:GE)'s Baker Hughes energy services firm said in its closely followed report on Friday. That slight decline followed four straight weeks of increases.

Domestic oil output - driven by shale extraction - is currently at an all-time high of 10.9 million bpd. Only Russia currently produces more, at around 11 million bpd.

Fresh weekly data on U.S. commercial crude inventories on Tuesday and Wednesday to gauge the strength of demand in the world’s largest oil consumer and how fast output levels will continue to rise will capture the market's attention.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of the main events likely to affect the oil market.

Tuesday, June 26

The American Petroleum Institute is to publish its weekly report on U.S. oil supplies.

Wednesday, June 27

The U.S. Energy Information Administration will release its weekly report on oil stockpiles.

Friday, June 29

Baker Hughes will release weekly data on the U.S. oil rig count.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.