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Needham initiates Lululemon shares with Hold amid slowing trends

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 22/11/2024, 12:30
© Reuters.
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Friday - Needham has initiated coverage on Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:LULU) shares with a Hold rating, citing multiple challenges the company is currently facing. Lululemon, known for its athletic apparel, has seen its stock decline significantly this year, contrasting sharply with the broader S&P 500's gains.

The firm's analysis highlights that Lululemon's performance has been the weakest within their coverage, with the stock plunging approximately 40% year-to-date, compared to the S&P 500 index, which has risen 24%.

The analyst pointed out that while there are positive aspects to the company's business, such as the potential for long-term growth and its strong financial position, current trends in the U.S. market and a tougher macroeconomic environment in China present immediate concerns.

Needham's cautious stance is further supported by recent consumer surveys and Bloomberg ALTD credit card data, both indicating a lackluster demand for Lululemon's products as the holiday season approaches. These findings suggest that consumers may be less enthusiastic about the brand, which could impact sales in a traditionally high-revenue period.

The analyst's comments reflect a broader sentiment of uncertainty, with the competitive landscape in the U.S. becoming increasingly difficult for Lululemon. Additionally, the challenges in China's macro environment add to the hurdles the company must overcome.

In conclusion, Needham has decided to stay on the sidelines regarding Lululemon's stock for the time being. The firm is looking for greater clarity on the company's prospects for returning to growth in the U.S. before revisiting its rating.

In other recent news, Lululemon Athletica Inc. reported a second-quarter total revenue increase of 7%, reaching $2.4 billion, and earnings per share (EPS) of $3.15, surpassing the expected $2.94. However, the company revised its fiscal year 2024 sales growth forecast from 11-12% to 8-9%.

In response to these recent developments, Baird increased its price target for Lululemon to $380 while maintaining an Outperform rating. Truist Securities also raised its price target to $360 and maintained a Buy rating, indicating a positive outlook on the company's performance.

Piper Sandler, on the other hand, maintained a Neutral stance with a consistent price target of $260. TD Cowen reiterated a Buy rating, citing a robust growth trajectory for Lululemon's international business, particularly in China. KeyBanc Capital Markets also reiterated an Overweight rating, emphasizing the company's focus on the Chinese market.

On the contrary, Barclays (LON:BARC) maintained an Equalweight rating, reflecting uncertainties in the Americas market. Lastly, Jefferies maintained an Underperform rating, citing increasing competition in key urban markets, especially in North America. These ratings and price target changes reflect the ongoing financial performance and market expectations for Lululemon.

InvestingPro Insights

Despite Needham's cautious stance on Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ: LULU), recent InvestingPro data and tips offer a nuanced perspective on the company's financial health and market position.

According to InvestingPro, Lululemon boasts impressive gross profit margins, with the latest data showing a gross profit margin of 58.54% for the last twelve months as of Q2 2025. This strength in profitability is complemented by the company's solid balance sheet, as an InvestingPro Tip notes that Lululemon holds more cash than debt.

While the stock has experienced a significant decline year-to-date, with InvestingPro data showing a -38.36% price total return, it's worth noting that the company has demonstrated a strong return over the last three months, with a 19.62% price total return. This recent performance could signal a potential turnaround in investor sentiment.

Moreover, Lululemon's P/E ratio of 24.33 suggests that it's trading at a low P/E ratio relative to its near-term earnings growth, as highlighted by another InvestingPro Tip. This could indicate that the stock may be undervalued considering its growth prospects.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips and insights, with 7 more tips available for Lululemon on the platform.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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