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MongoDB stock target increased, rating held on positive shift

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 26/11/2024, 15:00
MDB
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On Tuesday, Piper Sandler, a financial services firm, increased its stock price target on MongoDB (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MDB), a general-purpose database platform, from $335.00 to $425.00. The firm has maintained an Overweight rating on the shares.

The adjustment in MongoDB's price target reflects a positive shift in investor sentiment, as indicated by a significant 38% increase in the company's share price over the past three months, outperforming the S&P 500's 6% gain during the same period. According to the analyst, this uptick is partly due to favorable comments about other data consumption-related stocks such as Snowflake (NYSE: SNOW) (NYSE:SNOW) and Elastic (NYSE: NYSE:ESTC).

The recent surge in MongoDB's stock, which saw a 20% increase in the past week, has been attributed to short covering. Nevertheless, Piper Sandler views MongoDB as a high-conviction tactical idea to hold into the next year. The firm's optimism is based on an expectation of a return to normal growth patterns and the potential for improved margin prospects for MongoDB.

In justifying the new price target, Piper Sandler has factored in slightly higher growth estimates and margin expansion for MongoDB over the next two years. The firm also holds an upward bias regarding the consensus growth estimates, which forecast a 15% increase this quarter, with MongoDB set to report its earnings on December 9, and an 18% increase for the next year. These estimates, according to the analyst, may be on the conservative side.

In other recent news, MongoDB Inc. announced the full redemption of its outstanding 0.25% Convertible Senior Notes due in 2026, totaling $1,149,972,000. Noteholders have the option to convert their notes into MongoDB's Common Stock before the conversion deadline in December 2024. This strategic financial maneuver forms part of MongoDB's recent developments.

Following a robust second-quarter earnings report with a 13% year-over-year revenue increase to $478 million, MongoDB has been the subject of numerous analyst reviews. Firms such as DA Davidson, Piper Sandler, and KeyBanc Capital Markets have raised their price targets for MongoDB, reflecting the company's strong performance.

Looking ahead, MongoDB's management projects third-quarter revenue to range between $493 million and $497 million. The full fiscal year 2025 revenue is expected to be between $1.92 billion and $1.93 billion, based on the company's recent performance and analyst expectations. These projections underscore the confidence in MongoDB's potential and its capacity to maintain a positive growth trajectory.

InvestingPro Insights

MongoDB's recent stock performance aligns with the InvestingPro data, which shows a strong 38.76% return over the last three months and an impressive 27.02% return in the past month. This upward trend is further emphasized by the 18.06% return in just the last week, supporting Piper Sandler's observation of recent stock momentum.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that 22 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, which corroborates Piper Sandler's optimistic outlook on MongoDB's growth potential. Additionally, the tip indicating that net income is expected to grow this year aligns with the analyst's expectation of improved margin prospects.

However, investors should note that MongoDB is trading at a high revenue valuation multiple, according to another InvestingPro Tip. This could be a consideration for those evaluating the stock's current price levels relative to Piper Sandler's new target.

For a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 14 additional tips for MongoDB, providing investors with a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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