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Lowe's stock outlook steady as analyst notes macro pressure and sticky rate challenges

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 20/11/2024, 16:16
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On Wednesday, TD Cowen sustained its Hold rating on Lowe's Companies, Inc. (NYSE: LOW) with a steady price target of $290.00. The firm's analysis highlighted that Lowe's third-quarter performance was marked by robust high-single-digit growth in its professional customer segment, countered by mid-single-digit pressures in the do-it-yourself segment. Additionally, the company experienced a boost in revenue due to hurricane-related sales, although this was accompanied by greater pressure on margins.

The commentary from TD Cowen pointed out that despite the challenging macroeconomic environment, the underlying demand for Lowe's offerings appears stable. However, the current economic landscape, influenced by persistent interest rates, suggests an increased risk to financial year 2025 comparable sales. The analyst's focus is shifting towards a normalized financial year 2026, anticipating how the company will fare when market conditions stabilize.

Lowe's third quarter was notably impacted by external factors such as weather events, which tend to drive short-term increases in sales due to the demand for repair and rebuilding supplies. Nevertheless, these events also resulted in higher operating costs, impacting the company's profit margins.

The steady price target set by TD Cowen reflects an expectation that Lowe's will maintain its current market position without significant changes in valuation in the near term. The Hold rating indicates that the firm does not see substantial upside or downside potential from the stock's current trading level.

In conclusion, while Lowe's has demonstrated areas of strength, particularly in its professional customer segment, TD Cowen anticipates that external economic pressures and interest rate environments will continue to pose challenges to the company's performance looking into the next fiscal years. The firm's maintained Hold rating and price target suggest a cautious outlook on the stock's near-term growth prospects.

In other recent news, Lowe's Companies Inc (NYSE:LOW). reported robust third-quarter earnings, surpassing both Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) and consensus estimates with an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.89. The home improvement retailer also updated its 2024 EPS guidance to a range of $11.80 to $11.90, aligning with current street estimates. Following these results, several financial firms, including Truist Securities, Mizuho (NYSE:MFG), Piper Sandler, and RBC Capital Markets, adjusted their price targets for Lowe's, reflecting a generally positive outlook for the company.

Truist Securities raised its price target to $310, citing high-single-digit comparable sales in the professional contractor segment and a lift from sales related to storm recovery efforts. Mizuho maintained an Outperform rating on Lowe's, subtly increasing the price target to $282. Piper Sandler confirmed its Overweight rating on Lowe's, with a steady price target of $307, while RBC Capital Markets slightly increased its price target for Lowe's to $291.

Wolfe Research also increased its price target for Lowe's to $308, based on a forward-looking valuation. However, DA Davidson trimmed the price target to $270, maintaining a Neutral rating. These adjustments highlight the company's potential for market share consolidation among small and medium-sized contractors and the resilience in key areas of its business.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement TD Cowen's analysis of Lowe's Companies, Inc. (NYSE: LOW), recent data from InvestingPro offers additional context. Despite the challenges highlighted in the article, Lowe's maintains a strong market position with a market capitalization of $147.08 billion. The company's P/E ratio of 22.69 suggests that investors are still willing to pay a premium for its earnings, reflecting confidence in its long-term prospects.

InvestingPro Tips emphasize Lowe's resilience and stability. The company has raised its dividend for an impressive 41 consecutive years and has maintained dividend payments for 54 years, demonstrating a strong commitment to shareholder returns. This aligns with the article's mention of Lowe's ability to navigate challenging economic environments.

Moreover, Lowe's is characterized as a "prominent player in the Specialty Retail industry" and "operates with a moderate level of debt," which supports its ability to weather economic fluctuations mentioned in the TD Cowen analysis. The company's profitability over the last twelve months and analysts' predictions of continued profitability this year further reinforce its stable position.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 7 additional tips that could provide deeper insights into Lowe's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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