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General Motors stock sees upgrade—2025 emissions & tariffs create near-term upside

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/12/2024, 11:32
© Reuters.
GM
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On Tuesday, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) adjusted its stance on General Motors (NYSE:NYSE:GM), moving the automotive giant's stock rating from Underweight to Equalweight, while also increasing the price target to $54 from the previous $46.

The revision reflects the firm's evolving view of the automotive industry as it anticipates a tumultuous year in 2025. According to InvestingPro data, GM currently trades at an attractive 5.7x earnings multiple, with the stock currently trading near its Fair Value.

The company's market capitalization stands at $58 billion, supported by robust annual revenue of $183 billion.Want deeper insights? InvestingPro subscribers have access to over 10 additional exclusive tips and comprehensive financial metrics for GM.

The analyst from Morgan Stanley highlighted the current market dynamics, noting a trend where investors have shown a preference for traditional internal combustion engine (ICE (NYSE:ICE))-focused companies like General Motors and PHIN over those concentrated on electric vehicles (EVs), such as RIVN and APTV, since the US Presidential election.

This shift comes amid expectations of a more relaxed regulatory environment on emissions and the possibility of significant tariff changes. The market's confidence in GM's strategy is reflected in its impressive 48% year-to-date return and 33% dividend growth over the last twelve months.

The firm's analysis suggests that the automotive sector may experience a "noisy 2025 'ICE Honeymoon,'" indicating a period of volatility driven by regulatory changes. Despite the uncertainties, Morgan Stanley has reiterated its positive outlook on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), labeling it as their top pick and raising its price target to $400.

Morgan Stanley's upgrade of General Motors to Equalweight with a new price target of $54 reflects a more neutral position on the stock, suggesting a balanced risk-reward scenario. The firm has also expressed a preference for auto dealers over most suppliers and maintains a cautious stance on rental car companies.

The update from Morgan Stanley offers investors a revised perspective on General Motors as the market prepares for potential shifts in the automotive landscape, influenced by policy changes and market preferences in the coming years.

Analyst targets for GM currently range from $38 to $85, suggesting varied opinions about the company's future prospects. Access GM's complete financial health analysis and detailed valuation metrics through InvestingPro's comprehensive research report, part of our coverage of over 1,400 US stocks.

In other recent news, General Motors (GM) has disclosed a series of significant financial adjustments and strategic decisions. The automotive giant expects an impairment of its equity interest in China joint ventures, forecasting a financial impact in the fourth quarter of 2024. The impairment is estimated to be in the range of $2.6 to $2.9 billion, nearly half of the joint venture value listed on GM's balance sheet.

Additionally, the company anticipates equity losses of around $2.7 billion due to a restructuring plan in China. Despite these financial challenges, Bernstein SocGen Group has maintained a Market Perform rating on GM's stock.

In another development, GM Financial, a subsidiary of GM, plans to record a material impairment charge of approximately $400 million related to its equity investment in SAIC-GMAC, a joint venture in China. This decision follows a reassessment of the venture's value in the face of new business forecasts and restructuring actions.

On the strategic front, GM announced plans to sell its stake in a joint venture battery plant in Lansing, Michigan, to partner LG Energy Solution. This move is part of GM's adjustments to its electric vehicle strategy and is expected to recover approximately $1 billion in investment.

BofA Securities maintained its Buy rating on GM, citing the company's robust financial performance and ongoing initiatives that could enhance its future prospects. Meanwhile, Jefferies has increased GM's price target while maintaining a Hold rating, subtly adjusting the company's profit and loss estimates. These are recent developments that investors should monitor closely.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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