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Will the Bank of England cut rates on Thursday? Markets overwhelmingly think the answer to this question is no. The swaps curve is pricing barely a 5% chance of a rate cut. Much of that is down to...
Data suggests sudden tightening of GBP liquidity conditions The Sterling Overnight Index Average (SONIA) benchmark rate has been creeping up since the beginning of the year, and the recent value of...
European stock markets rose a little early on Tuesday after a tough session for risk in the wake of the European Parliament elections. French-German bond spreads hit the widest this year on rising...
UK wage growth remained strong in the three months to April despite a slowing jobs market. The unemployment rate rose unexpectedly from 4.3% to 4.4%, the highest level since August 2021. Annual...
ECB decision this week could affect euro pairs, with EUR/GBP in focus. EUR/GBP is at a critical support level, and the ECB's decision could trigger a rebound. Meanwhile, GBP/USD is on an upward...
GBP/USD turned bearish on Wednesday after being rejected at 1.28 the day prior. It’s not the first time the pair has been rejected at that level which suggests it has become somewhat of a...
USD: Minutes boost may not last The 1 May FOMC minutes, released yesterday, surprised on the hawkish side and bolstered the dollar. While the general view was that policy was “well...
UK inflation slowed a lot but not as much as expected. Sterling had been advancing a bit in anticipation of this ‘beat’ to the consensus expectations, jumped higher then faltered a bit....
Market pricing has tipped in favour of ‘no rate cut’ at the upcoming Bank of England (BoE) meeting in June after UK CPI came in higher than expected this morning. Markets were assigning a...
The Bank of England maintained interest rates, with a 7-2 vote suggesting possible rate cuts as early as this summer. Upcoming UK inflation data is crucial, potentially increasing currency pair...
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