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Week Ahead Economic Preview: Week Of 6 July 2020

By IHS Markit (Chris Williamson)Market OverviewJul 03, 2020 06:41
uk.investing.com/analysis/week-ahead-economic-preview-week-of-6-july-2020-200443580
Week Ahead Economic Preview: Week Of 6 July 2020
By IHS Markit (Chris Williamson)   |  Jul 03, 2020 06:41
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After manufacturing PMIs showed encouraging signs of factories emerging from lockdowns (see page 9), further clues as to economic recovery paths will be sought from various key data releases. These include the global PMI, US non-manufacturing data, eurozone industrial output and retail sales, plus detailed global sector PMIs. The latter have provided unique insights into which companies have seen the strongest downturns during the pandemic, with tourism, recreation and transport so far suffering the most. IHS Markit also updates its business outlook survey, which looks at business expectations for the year ahead across its PMI panels around the world. Central bank action comes from Australia and Malaysia.

In the US, the focus shifts to the services and non-manufacturing PMIs via IHS Markit and ISM respectively. With the flash PMI for the former having already shown signs of improvement in June, and ISM's factory gauge having beaten expectations, markets will be looking for some positive numbers. Jobless claims will also be in the limelight amid worries about the economic impact of lockdowns being reintroduced. Vast swathes of the US have re-instigated lockdowns as COVID-19 infection rates hit new record highs (page 3).

Retail sales and industrial production for the eurozone will be eyed to gauge the extent of the rebound from April's lockdowns. PMI data have already hinted at strong monthly gains in the official gauges, and early indicators such as German and French retail sales have bounced higher. Construction PMI numbers will also give additional clues as to building activity across Europe's largest economies in June (page 4). See our special 'Eurozone: Beyond the Bounce' report (page 6).

In Asia, central bank meetings in Australia and Malaysia will be keenly watched for policymakers' latest assessments of the economic outlook. Both have unleashed stimulus to fight pandemic-fuelled downturns, but the latest economic data are showing improvements which could reduce appetite for further measures just yet. China's credit and money supply data will also be important to watch (page 5).

"Disclaimer: The intellectual property rights to these data provided herein are owned by or licensed to Markit Economics Limited. Any unauthorised use, including but not limited to copying, distributing, transmitting or otherwise of any data appearing is not permitted without Markit’s prior consent. Markit shall not have any liability, duty or obligation for or relating to the content or information (“data”) contained herein, any errors, inaccuracies, omissions or delays in the data, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon.

In no event shall Markit be liable for any special, incidental, or consequential damages, arising out of the use of the data. Purchasing Managers' Index™ and PMI™ are either registered trademarks of Markit Economics Limited or licensed to Markit Economics Limited. Markit is a registered trade mark of Markit Group Limited."

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Week Ahead Economic Preview: Week Of 6 July 2020
 

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Week Ahead Economic Preview: Week Of 6 July 2020

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