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Regime Shift

Published 04/11/2019, 08:50
Updated 09/07/2023, 11:32
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US stocks have outperformed their global and emerging counterparts by a mile in the last ten years. But this hasn’t always been the case. For example, in the decade prior to that, the S&P 500 Index realised a negative return while emerging markets skyrocketed 188%. So what about the ten years to come? Given the lofty valuation of US stocks, and the CAPE being above 30, stock markets outside the US may well outperform.

Enthusiasm Shifts

That said, the performance gap between US and the rest of the world can partly be explained by the US being home to a number of technology firms that have reshaped many aspects of daily life. This is not something that will shift overnight.

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