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US: Dovish shift in the Fed's policy stance has seen Treasury yields fall sharplyThe dovish shift in the Federal Reserve's policy stance has seen Treasury yields fall sharply and the dollar sell off...
US economic activity is still on track to slow after strong growth in the third quarter, but recession risk remains low, based on a set of nowcasts compiled by CapitalSpectator.com.Next month’s...
What is the “wealth effect,” and why is it important? It is a great question and reminded me of “A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Colosseum.“ The hysterical play by...
In the final episode of The Trading Floor series for 2023, co-founder Piers Curran breaks down the difference between the central bank announcements from the Federal Reserve, Bank of England and...
The seasonal party continues but, the danger is aheadThe strategy of how to navigate what is ahead has been generally covered in NFTRH and with post-FOMC clarity, it is being fine-tuned...
We just got our January 2019 moment: the Powell dovish pivot is here.Contrary to popular belief, a dovish pivot doesn’t mean the Fed is already cutting rates. Instead, it means the necessary...
Chair Powell validates the move from 5% to 4% on the 10yr yield ECB to push back against early cut expectations BoE likely reiterate rates will stay restrictive for an extended period Today’s...
Instead of holding their cards back, the Fed decided to go all in today and show their hand. I don’t play poker anymore, but the only time I would go all in in Texas Hold’em was when I...
Late November, see here, we were based on the Elliott Wave Principle (EWP) looking for the Nasdaq 100 to put in a local top, drop to ideally $15,750, while holding above $15,738 on a daily closing...
In October, the markets were down 10% from the July high, bond yields were touching 5%, and talk of a coming recession was rampant. What happened?Interestingly, a Wall Street axiom says, “Sell...
The eagerly awaited release of CPI and Core CPI figures today is crucial, especially during a bullish market phase. Today's data release will also decide the year-end rally's fate. Anticipated...
This week will be the capstone of 2023 because whatever happens this week will be a send-off message as 2024 approaches.This week will feature CPI, PPI, and retail sales on the economic front. A 3,10,...
Next week will be the busiest week of the month for the markets. Here's my December 2023 preview for dollar, forex, stocks and more!
US economic growth remains on track to slow in the fourth quarter, but today’s revised analysis still supports a “soft landing” outlook that will keep output strong enough to...
MON: Norwegian CPI (Nov), Chinese M2 (Nov). TUE: EIA STEO; UK Unemployment Rate (Oct), German ZEW (Dec), US NFIB (Nov), US CPI (Nov), Japanese Tankan (Q4). WED: FOMC, BoK & BCB Policy...