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FTSE Dips In Lacklustre Session; FTSE MIB Dives On Populist Coalition

Published 18/05/2018, 18:37
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The FTSE edged away from its record closing high, in an uninspiring session ahead of the weekend. It is, however, still firmly on track for another winning week. This is its eigth consecutive winning week as low for longer interest rates, a weaker pound and stronger oil prices have kept the bulls firmly in control.

Glencore (LON:GLEN) tumbled to the bottom of the index as reports of a UK bribery probe over its dealings in Congo. The uncertainty of how this fraud investigation could turn out is providing investors with the perfect excuse to book profits from Glencore’s 15% rally over the past two weeks and 40% rally over the past year. The adage there is no smoke without fire more often than not stands true, therefore it is understandable that investors want out, until there is more clarity over the situation.

AstraZeneca (LON:AZN) tumbled over 2% after core earnings missed forecast hit by a combination of rising costs and falling sales of its cholesterol fighter. Despite the disappointment, losses were limited after the drugs maker reiterated its promise to return to sales growth in 2018.

Pound targets fresh 5 month lows

The pound was trading lower versus the dollar once again on Friday, as it heads towards fresh 5-month lows. Whilst a run of soft UK economic data, a dovish BoE and growing concerns over the future health of the UK labour market has been weighing on demand for the pound over the past month, the negative sentiment intensified this week by the return of Brexit fears and an ever-stronger US dollar. With the UK economic calendar quiet for the first part of next week, investors will need to wait until Wednesday’s inflation data for any hope of a meaningful change in direction for the battered pound.

Euro Marginally lower and FTSE MIB plummets on Italy’s populist coalition

The arrival of a populist government to Italy, sent the euro southwards before it, bounced off support at $1.1750. Given that the two parties have toned down some of the Eurosceptic rhetoric, the sell off has not been so marked, instead the 5 Star and the League will increase focus on stepping up immigrations curbs and turn more towards Russia in foreign policy.

Whilst the euro was only down marginally albeit still hovering around 5-month lows, on the announcement of a 5 Star / League functioning government; the FTSE MIB, has dumped over 1.6% on the news. This suggest that right now euro traders are not overly concerned, whereas the populist coalition is not being viewed in a positive light for the domestic economy.

Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient.

Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warrant that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, the author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does the author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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