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Tesco hopes forecast-beating results will calm Booker naysayers

Published 12/04/2017, 10:37
© Reuters. Tesco Chief Financial Officer, Alan Stewart speaks at an analyst presentation in London
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By James Davey and Paul Sandle

LONDON (Reuters) - Tesco (L:TSCO), Britain's biggest retailer, beat forecasts for full-year profit as its recovery gained pace, potentially strengthening the hand of Chief Executive Dave Lewis as he seeks investor backing for his plan to buy wholesaler Booker (L:BOK).

Tesco needs its results to impress to help persuade shareholders it can also make a success of buying Booker.

In addition to a 30 percent rise in its key profit measure, Tesco on Wednesday detailed a first annual increase in underlying sales in its core UK business for seven years and a 27 percent reduction in net debt.

Two of Tesco's biggest shareholders last month urged it to drop the 3.7 billion pound Booker bid, saying it was overpaying and the deal was a distraction from its turnaround plan.

"The results today should give everybody confidence that the management team were completely focused on the continued turnaround of the business," Lewis, who joined in 2014 when the group was in crisis, told reporters.

"Hopefully our shareholders and other stakeholders can see that the team continued to deliver," Lewis said.

Shares in Tesco slipped 3.6 percent by 0908 GMT but remained up 2.3 percent over the last week.

Analysts at Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) said they expected the profit consensus for 2017-18 to move up by about 1 percent on the back of the results.

After Tesco's sales, profit and asset values were hammered by changing shopping habits, the rise of discounters Aldi and Lidl and an accounting scandal, the company has been fighting back under Lewis.

He took charge shortly before the uncovering of accounting mis-steps plunged the group into the worst crisis in its near 100-year history.

Lewis stabilised the business, then got it growing again with a focus on lower prices, new and streamlined product ranges and better customer service. He has also improved relationships with suppliers.

BOLDEST MOVE

The Booker deal is Lewis's boldest move yet. He believes it will provide Tesco with a new avenue of growth by giving it access to the fast-growing "out of home" food market, given the target's role in distributing to restaurants.

"My job is not just to be managing the short term for Tesco, it is about managing the medium and the long term," he said.

Although buying Booker will increase Tesco's UK exposure, Lewis said Tesco had no plans for further overseas disposals.

Tesco and Booker are engaging with Britain's Competition and Markets Authority (CMA), which has yet to formally confirm the start of an investigation into the deal.

Tesco made an operating profit before exceptional items of 1.28 billion pounds in the year to Feb. 25, ahead of analysts' average forecast of 1.26 billion.

Group sales rose 4.3 percent to 49.9 billion pounds, while net debt was cut to 3.73 billion pounds.

UK like-for-like sales rose 0.7 percent in its fourth quarter, a fifth straight quarter of underlying growth.

By 2020, Tesco aims to earn between 3.5 pence and 4p of operating profit for every 1 pound spent by shoppers, up from 2.3p in 2016-17 as sales rise and 1.5 billion pounds of costs are taken out of the business.

"We are ahead of where we expected to be at this stage," said Lewis. "We are confident that we can build on this strong performance in the year ahead."

Despite its progress, Tesco still has some way to go to. Five years ago it made a profit of 3.8 billion pounds.

© Reuters. Tesco Chief Financial Officer, Alan Stewart speaks at an analyst presentation in London

On Monday, a court approved a deal between Tesco and Britain's Serious Fraud Office (SFO) to settle a probe over the accounting scandal. Tesco took a one-off charge of 235 million pounds in the results to cover fines and investor compensation.

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