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Semtech stock target raised on data center outlook

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 01/04/2024, 18:32

On Monday, Needham raised its price target on Semtech Corp . (NASDAQ:SMTC (NASDAQ:SMTX)) shares to $38 from the previous $26, while reiterating a Buy rating. The firm's positive stance comes after Semtech's reported earnings beat for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2024, bolstered by improved point-of-sale (POS) figures that helped counterbalance channel inventory digestion.

The company's growth prospects have been favorably viewed since last September, following management changes and expectations for better operational expense and debt management.

The analyst notes that the adoption of analog signal conditioning (ACC) technology is emerging as a new catalyst for Semtech. This is expected to spur a cyclical recovery, particularly as data center activities pick up pace.

Semtech is anticipated to gain from the expanded use of ACC in GPU back-end networks. Projections suggest that the company's linear equalizers could see a ramp-up in late calendar year 2024 and achieve high-volume production by calendar year 2025. This potential growth is not yet fully reflected in current estimates.

Encouraging signs are also observed in the near term, with bookings and POS data showing increases across all three end markets served by Semtech. The recovery in the passive optical network (PON) sector is happening more rapidly than anticipated, which is also expected to contribute to the company's margins and has led to an upward revision of fiscal year 2025 projections. The new stock price target of $38 is based on 25 times the estimated earnings per share for calendar year 2025.

InvestingPro Insights

Following Needham's revised price target for Semtech Corp. (NASDAQ:SMTC), real-time data from InvestingPro provides additional context to the company's financial health and market performance. Semtech's market capitalization stands at approximately $1.77 billion, indicating its size within the industry.

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Despite a challenging financial history with a negative P/E ratio of -1.61, the company has demonstrated notable revenue growth of 14.83% over the last twelve months as of Q4 2024. This growth is a testament to Semtech's resilience and potential for future profitability, as highlighted by analysts' predictions.

Investors should note that Semtech has experienced significant stock price appreciation, with a one-week total return of 23.44% and a one-month return of 23.27%. However, InvestingPro Tips suggest caution; the stock's Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates it is currently in overbought territory, and the company operates with a significant debt burden.

These factors could introduce volatility, as reflected in the stock's recent price movements. On the upside, Semtech's liquid assets surpass short-term obligations, which could provide some financial flexibility.

For those considering an investment in Semtech, there are 11 additional InvestingPro Tips available, offering deeper insights into the company's financial metrics and market position. To explore these tips and make more informed investment decisions, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription at InvestingPro.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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