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Morgan Stanley maintains Tesla $345 stock target on China EV reliance

Published 15/02/2024, 11:34
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On Thursday, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) reiterated its Overweight rating on Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) with a steady price target of $345.00. The firm's analysis underscores the critical role of China in the electric vehicle (EV) sector, particularly for Western car manufacturers. The assessment points out that without China's involvement, the adoption of EVs in Western markets could be significantly hindered due to strict trade barriers.

The report highlights the challenges of diversifying away from China, noting the potential cost and time implications. It could take decades to establish on-shore EV and battery supply chains in the West, which are likely to encounter environmental and permitting obstacles. The analysis observes current trends where auto companies are actively seeking partnerships with Chinese firms. Examples include Ford (NYSE:F)'s engagement with CATL for battery production in Michigan, Stellantis (NYSE:STLA)'s investment in Leapmotor (HK:9863), Volkswagen (ETR:VOWG_p)'s stake in Xpeng (NYSE:XPEV), and Tesla's plans for a U.S. battery plant using CATL equipment.

The commentary emphasizes the strategic collaborations between Western original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and Chinese EV leaders like BYD (SZ:002594). These partnerships could shape the scale and timing of Western companies' investments in the EV market. The analyst suggests that if collaboration with China is hindered, it could lead to a reduction in EV investments. Conversely, successful collaboration may enhance the economic returns for shareholders.

The report also touches on the geopolitical landscape, mentioning Mexican policymakers' recent imposition of a 25% tariff on Chinese imports in an effort to align with U.S. policy objectives. The firm posits that if the U.S. EV strategy shifts, Mexico could transition from acting as a barrier to becoming a conduit for Chinese EV supply into the U.S. market.

InvestingPro Insights

Morgan Stanley's confidence in Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) is echoed in certain financial metrics, suggesting a robust position for the company in the competitive electric vehicle market. Tesla's market capitalization remains formidable at $601.0 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the industry. The company's P/E ratio, a measure of its current share price relative to its per-share earnings, stands at 39.67, indicating high investor expectations for future earnings growth despite recent market volatility.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Tesla holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, providing financial flexibility and resilience. This is particularly relevant as Tesla navigates the complexities of international trade and supply chain management highlighted in Morgan Stanley's report. Additionally, Tesla's liquid assets surpass its short-term obligations, further underscoring its capacity to meet immediate financial needs.

Despite the challenges faced by the EV sector, Tesla's prominence as a key player, as noted by InvestingPro Tips, could be a driving force in fostering successful collaborations with Chinese firms and navigating the geopolitical landscape. For investors considering Tesla's stock, the company's ability to maintain sufficient cash flows to cover interest payments is another reassuring sign of financial health.

For those looking to delve deeper into Tesla's financials and future prospects, InvestingPro offers additional insights. There are currently 19 more InvestingPro Tips available for Tesla, providing a comprehensive analysis for investors. To access these valuable insights and make more informed decisions, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 for an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription at https://www.investing.com/pro/TSLA.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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