Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious Outperformance
Find Stocks Now

FTSE lags Europe as stronger pound compounds losses

Published 22/03/2017, 13:06
© Reuters. Britain's Chancellor of the Exchequer Philip Hammond (3rd L), opens the London Stock Exchange

By Helen Reid

LONDON (Reuters) - British shares pulled back on Wednesday, weighed by banks and miners, as investors repriced expectations for fiscal easing from the U.S. and a stronger outlook for sterling compounded weakness in the UK stock market.

Britain's blue-chip FTSE 100 index (FTSE) was down 0.8 percent by 1240 GMT, hitting a two-week low and set for its biggest daily drop since late January.

It underperformed the pan-European STOXX 600 (STOXX) index, which traded down 0.6 percent. The mid-cap index (FTMC) was down 1.1 percent and set for its biggest one-day drop of the year.

"It's a double whammy of the pound not looking so bearish on the 12-18 month view, along with the pullback in global markets," said Kallum Pickering, senior UK economist at Berenberg.

The weak pound has consistently been supporting the index, whose constituents mainly earn foreign currency, up to record levels this year, with the latest all-time high hit on Friday.

But the pound hit its highest levels in almost four weeks on Tuesday after inflation for February shot past the Bank of England's 2 percent target.

This removed an important catalyst for the FTSE to climb higher, while also increasing the likelihood the central bank will raise rates - which would further strengthen sterling.

Banks have also been adjusting their forecasts for sterling upwards. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) set out more bullish estimates this month, downgrading their stance on UK large-caps as a result.

RUSH FROM RISK ASSETS AS TRUMP TRADE SOURS

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

British equities were tracking global markets lower, as investors grew concerned that much-anticipated reflationary policies from the new U.S. administration would take longer to materialise than hoped.

Banking and mining, which had seen the greatest gains from the 'Trump trade' as investors bet on reflation and infrastructure spending, were the biggest sector fallers.

"There's a degree of fiscal frustration - what's been driving markets is the hope and promise of fiscal stimulus, tax cuts and deregulation, and investors were expecting many more details than what we have by this point," said Alex Dryden, global market strategist at JP Morgan Asset Management.

"Markets have been very tranquil so far this year, and that suggests to me that any sort of move was going to cause some shockwaves," he added.

On average over a decade, the FTSE sees a 1 percent move once every five days, but in 2017 so far there have been only two daily moves of such magnitude, Dryden said.

Positive economic data and an upturn in basic resource prices contributed to this calm start to the year for the index, which has a 20 percent exposure to commodities.

Miners Rio Tinto (L:RIO), BHP Billiton (L:BLT) and Ashtead (L:AHT) were among top fallers, down 1.8 to 3 percent.

Barclays (L:BARC), Standard Chartered (L:STAN) and RBS (L:RBS) fell 1.8 to 2.6 percent.

Home improvement retailer Kingfisher (L:KGF) was the top faller, down 5.7 percent after it said it was concerned uncertainty around French and British politics could hit future demand, after it beat 2016 profit forecasts thanks to solid performance in its home market.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

As investors turned to safe haven assets and dividend-yielding stocks, gold miners Randgold Resources (L:RRS) and Fresnillo (L:FRES) were among a handful of companies making timid gains, along with telecoms group BT (L:BT) and consumer giant Unilever (LON:ULVR) .

"This is a classic risk-off move - people fly to safety, to the names that they know, as they reprice their fiscal policy outlook," said JP Morgan Asset Management's Dryden.

British Airways owner International Consolidated Air (L:ICAG) was also among top fallers, along with Easyjet (L:EZJ), down 2.3 to 2.4 percent and the worst-performing in the European travel and leisure index (SXTP).

Both airlines would be affected by Britain joining the U.S. in imposing restrictions on carry-on electronic devices on planes coming from certain airports in the Middle East and North Africa.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.