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BNP Paribas stock plunges on 'messy quarter' and lowered profitability targets

Published 01/02/2024, 11:46
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BNPP
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Shares of BNP Paribas (EPA:BNPP) nosedived 8% in Paris on Thursday after the company reported an unexpected drop in Q4 earnings and delayed key profit target.

Notably, the French bank reported a significant 50% decrease in its net income year-over-year, falling to 1.07 billion euros, which was below the analysts' average projection of 1.74 billion euros.

The bank's fourth-quarter sales marginally rose by 0.1%, reaching 10.9 billion euros, but fell short of the expected 11.4 billion euros.

Looking ahead, BNP Paribas anticipates a return on tangible equity between 11.5% and 12% in 2025, slightly lower than the previously estimated 12%.

Moreover, BNP forecasts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in net income of around 8% from 2022 to 2025, a decrease from the previous expectation of over 9%.

The expected CAGR in earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be around 12% annually, or approximately 40% over the four-year period, which is marginally lower than the earlier forecast of over 12% annually.

“The new targets are broadly in line with consensus, but we expect a negative first share price reaction, given a messy quarter and new lowered targets,” Morgan Stanley analysts said in a Thursday note.

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