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Stocks pare losses but economic concerns linger

Published 02/01/2019, 20:26
© Reuters. A trader looks at price monitors as he works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, New York
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By April Joyner

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Stocks recovered much of their losses on Wednesday as investors took advantage of cheaper shares to ring in the new year, but lingering economic concerns from weak Chinese and European data boosted safe-haven assets including benchmark U.S. Treasury notes and the Japanese yen.

Data showed Chinese factory activity contracting for the first time in more than two years. The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for the euro zone also reached its lowest level since February 2016, and France's PMI fell in December for the first time in two years. Concerns about the flagging global economy contributed to U.S. stocks posting a loss in 2018 for the first time in a decade.

The U.S. benchmark S&P 500 stock index dropped as much as 1.6 percent on the data but moved higher to fluctuate between positive and negative territory as the session continued. Bank and energy shares, which have been especially hard-hit in recent sell-offs, were among the biggest gainers.

Energy shares also benefited from a jump in oil prices, which climbed as U.S. stocks recovered.

"We're at levels that are really, really oversold, and that's where bounces really come from," said Michael Antonelli, managing director of institutional sales trading at Robert W. Baird in Milwaukee. "Slowing China growth isn't anything new, and that's what led to today's bounce."

GRAPHIC: How global markets did in 2018 - https://tmsnrt.rs/2Ss8qjS

Still, MSCI's gauge of stocks around the globe (MIWD00000PUS) dropped 0.45 percent. Asian markets as well as the pan-European STOXX 600 (STOXX) closed lower.

Reflecting lingering investor nervousness, yields on U.S. 10-year Treasury notes (US10YT=RR) fell, earlier hitting an 11-month low. However, the boost in oil prices pushed up yields on short-dated maturities, flattening the yield curve . An inverted yield curve is widely seen as an indicator of a future recession.

"The yield curve is signalling that something is wrong," said Matt Miskin, market strategist at John Hancock Investments in Boston. "The underlying economic data continues to suggest a slowdown."

The safe-haven Japanese yen also rose to reach a seven-month high against the dollar.

Yet the dollar index (DXY), which measures the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, advanced 0.7 percent as the euro and sterling fell.

GRAPHIC: Japan's yen, stocks set for some turbulence, see - https://tmsnrt.rs/2S8LwOk

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) fell 98.22 points, or 0.42 percent, to 23,229.24, the S&P 500 (SPX) lost 5.61 points, or 0.22 percent, to 2,501.24 and the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) added 9.85 points, or 0.15 percent, to 6,645.13.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury notes (US10YT=RR) last rose 10/32 in price to yield 2.6557 percent, from 2.691 percent late on Monday.

© Reuters. A trader looks at price monitors as he works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, New York

Brent crude futures (LCOc1) gained $1.11, or 2.06 percent, to settle at $54.91 a barrel. U.S. crude futures (CLc1) rose $1.13, or 2.49 percent, to settle at $46.54 a barrel.

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