✂ Fed’s first rate cut since 2020: Use our free Stock Screener to find new opportunities fastExplore for FREE

Sterling hovers just below 10-month high, with focus on U.S. job numbers

Published 06/04/2023, 11:32
Updated 06/04/2023, 12:31
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: British pound banknote is displayed on U.S. Dollar banknotes in this illustration taken, February 14, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

By Harry Robertson

LONDON (Reuters) - The pound hovered just below its highest level in 10 months on Thursday as investor focus turned to Friday's U.S. jobs numbers.

Sterling was last flat at $1.246, having touched its highest level since June - $1.253 - on Tuesday.

Markets were subdued across the board on Thursday ahead of the release of the U.S. non-farm payrolls employment data on Friday.

It will be a key factor in the Federal Reserve's next interest rate decision and could cause volatility in markets.

"There is a semblance of calm about today's trading session in the absence of any major data," said Simon Harvey, head of FX analysis at Monex Europe.

"Price action instead is likely to be determined by expectations for tomorrow's payrolls print."

The U.S. jobs market has remained resolutely strong, keeping the pressure on the Fed to raise interest rates to tackle inflation. Yet analysts expect the U.S. to have added 239,000 jobs in March, a slowdown from February's 311,00 figure.

The pound was also little changed against the euro, with a euro changing hands for 87.51 pence.

Sterling has risen dramatically after plunging to a record low of $1.033 in September in the wake of then-Prime Minister Liz Truss's disastrous budget.

GRAPHIC - Pound vs. USD

https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/zdpxdadxqpx/Screenshot%202023-04-06%20103258.png

A stronger-than-expected economy, aided by falling energy prices, has helped the pound. As has a recent drop in the dollar as investors worry about the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank and the implications for the U.S. economy.

With British inflation unexpectedly jumping to 10.4% in February, investors broadly think the Bank of England will raise interest rates further. They're less sure about the Fed.

Expectations of higher interest rates have helped the pound, by making sterling-denominated fixed income investments in Britain look relatively more attractive.

In a thin calendar, data from Halifax showed that British house prices rose for a third month in a row in March. However, separate figures showed that house-building in Britain fell at the sharpest pace since May 2020 last month.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: British pound banknote is displayed on U.S. Dollar banknotes in this illustration taken, February 14, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

{{2126|The dodollar index, which tracks the currency against six peers, was last up 0.07% at 101.94. It stood at a three-month high of 105.88 in early March.

(This story has been corrected to give the non-farm payroll numbers, not private payroll numbers, in paragraph)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.