🎁 💸 Warren Buffett's Top Picks Are Up +49.1%. Copy Them to Your Watchlist – For FreeCopy Portfolio

Sterling trips as traders mull inflation, wary over Middle East

Published 19/10/2023, 10:47
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Pound notes and coins are seen inside a cash register in a bar in Manchester, Britain September 6, 2017. REUTERS/Phil Noble/File Photo
GBP/USD
-

By Lucy Raitano

LONDON (Reuters) - Sterling fell on Wednesday as traders stayed risk-averse and continued to digest data from Tuesday showing UK inflation unexpectedly held at 6.7% in September, raising the possibility of another rise in interest rates.

At 0851 GMT, sterling was down 0.3% against the dollar to $1.2106, and fell by the same degree against the euro at 87.03 pence.

"Sterling has been trading with its typical high beta to global risk conditions in recent days," said Nicholas Rees, FX market analyst at Monex Europe, with concerns around a potential energy price spike resulting from the crisis in the Middle East putting the pound under pressure again this morning.

The market is also waiting with bated breath for remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell at 1600 GMT.

"Sterling is falling for a third straight day on dollar strength owing to haven flows, and as U.S. Treasury yields hit a 16-year high, the expectation is that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer," said Fiona Cincotta, senior financial markets analyst at City Index.

Domestically, traders are still poring over Monday's wage data and Tuesday's inflation numbers. The hotter-than-expected consumer price print followed data showing that growth in British workers' regular pay slowed from a previous record high and job vacancies also declined.

Signs of a softer labour market boosted the chance the Bank of England will leave rates unchanged at its next meeting, while the inflation figures did the opposite.

"The modest undershoot on the wages data contrasted with a slight beat on inflation," said Monex's Rees.

"All-in-all though, both show signs of slowing inflationary pressures and with BoE speakers having recently set a high bar for restarting rate hike in our view, we don’t think this round of data moves the needle for either the MPC of the pound."

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Pound notes and coins are seen inside a cash register in a bar in Manchester, Britain September 6, 2017. REUTERS/Phil Noble/File Photo

Money markets are placing an 82% chance that the BoE will hold rates unchanged in its coming meeting in November.

UK retail sales for September are due on Friday, while a preliminary read on October business activity lands next week.

 

 

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.