🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

Sterling holds steady before US data, nursing Tuesday's heavy loss

Published 03/01/2024, 11:07
Updated 03/01/2024, 11:12
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The Bank of England is seen reflected on a balloon with the pound symbol during a protest against the hiking of interest rates outside the Bank of England in London, Britain, August 3, 2023. REUTERS/Susannah Ireland/File Photo
EUR/USD
-
GBP/USD
-
EUR/GBP
-

By Harry Robertson

LONDON (Reuters) - The pound held steady on Wednesday, nursing the previous day's steep losses as investors waited for U.S. economic data that could shift markets.

Sterling was last flat against the dollar at $1.2624, after falling 0.87% the previous day in its biggest one-day drop since mid-October.

It was slightly higher against the euro, with the single currency down 0.15% at 86.57 pence.

Investors returned from the holiday period with doubts in their minds about the euphoria of November and December, when falling global inflation and softer words from central banks fuelled hopes that interest rates will drop sharply this year.

The dollar jumped on Tuesday to around a two-week high and the pound and euro slumped, in a reversal of the trend seen over the last two months.

Data on job openings and the manufacturing sector in the U.S., as well as the minutes from the Federal Reserve's December meeting, could bring a sleepy session to life later in the day.

Alvin Tan, head of Asia FX strategy at RBC Capital Markets, said he thought the U.S. dollar could continue to regain ground in the coming weeks.

"In general we remain relatively more positive on the U.S. dollar," he said. "In terms of cable (the dollar-pound exchange rate), it can get back down towards $1.24 in the next few months."

The Bank of England's (BoE) tougher talk on inflation than the Fed has supported sterling over the last two months, helping it gain 4.7% across November and December. Expectations of higher interest rates relative to peers tend to boost a country's currency by making its bonds look more attractive.

Yet ING strategist Francesco Pesole said in a note on Wednesday that he expected "a capitulation of the Bank of England's higher-for-longer narrative to hit the pound this year".

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The Bank of England is seen reflected on a balloon with the pound symbol during a protest against the hiking of interest rates outside the Bank of England in London, Britain, August 3, 2023. REUTERS/Susannah Ireland/File Photo

Inflation in the UK fell more than expected in November to 3.9%, from 4.6% in October. Traders now expect around 140 basis points of rate cuts in 2024, according to money market pricing, not far off the roughly 150 expected from the Fed and European Central Bank.

British business leaders have turned more pessimistic about the outlook for the economy, survey data showed on Wednesday, and are pushing the BoE to start cutting rates early this year.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.