🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

Brazil's industry likely grew slightly in November - Reuters poll

Published 05/01/2015, 18:02
Updated 05/01/2015, 18:10
© Reuters. Brazil's President Dilma Rousseff waves to the crowd after being sworn in for a second four-year term in Brasilia

By Silvio Cascione

BRASILIA (Reuters) - Brazil's industrial output expanded slightly in November as businesses avoided adding to already-high inventories, damping hopes of a sustained recovery, according to a Reuters poll on Monday.

Output from Brazilian factories and mines grew by a seasonally adjusted 0.5 percent in November from the previous month, when it remained steady, according to the median forecast of 18 economists.

Compared with the same period a year earlier, industrial output is expected to have dropped 4 percent, worse than a 3.6 percent fall in October, according to the median of 13 forecasts.

Brazil's statistics agency, IBGE, will release the November industrial output report at 9 a.m. (0600 ET) on Thursday.

Industry has been particularly vulnerable to Brazil's broader economic slowdown in recent years. Weaker consumer demand and stubborn inflation compounded a string of long-standing problems, including high taxes and a scarcity of skilled labour, for which economists see no easy short-term fix.

"Industrial output has been declining since 2011, and for many sectors this adjustment will keep going as inventories remain high, demand shrinks and government stimulus is scaled back," said Gustav Gorski, chief economist at asset management firm Quantitas, in Porto Alegre, Brazil.

A survey of purchasing managers on Friday hinted at a slight pick-up in manufacturing activity in December , ending a three-month contraction. The HSBC Purchasing Managers' Index rose to a seasonally adjusted 50.2 from 48.7 in November. The result, though, failed to instil confidence among economists.

"Business confidence remains very low. Besides that, the auto sector keeps showing bad signals: media reports indicate record layoffs and collective vacations, which will weigh in December and January," Marco Maciel, chief economist at Banco Pine, wrote in a research note.

© Reuters. Brazil's President Dilma Rousseff waves to the crowd after being sworn in for a second four-year term in Brasilia

Forecasts for the monthly result ranged from an increase of 1.4 percent to a decline of 1.5 percent, while estimates for the year-over-year decline ranged from 3.3 percent to 4.9 percent.

(Editing by Alan Crosby)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.