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Retail Earnings, 13F filing

Published 15/11/2022, 17:36
Retail Earnings, 13F filing
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Breaking news Sam Bankman-Fried founder of FTX is back writing full sentences on Twitter.

Prices as of 4 pm ET, 11/14/22; % YTD

MARKET UPDATE Biden/Xi Jinping meeting

  • Agree to cooperate on issues including climate change and food security

  • Biden: “there need not be a new Cold War”

Fed Vice Chair Brainard

  • Central bank should soon moderate the size of rate increases

  • In other words, 50 point hike in December, not 75

  • Brainard acknowledged that the central bank has “additional work to do”

  • Next meeting: December 13, 14

  • Market probabilities:

US$105.5

  • 3-month low, 114 to 105.5 on lower central bank hiking intentions

8:30 a.m. October PPI

  • Year-over-year +8.0% vs. 8.3% estimate

  • Ex-food and energy +6.7% vs. 7.2% estimate

  • Yields fell on the news

Crude $85 -1%

  • Lower today on increasing Covid cases in China and weaker China economic data

  • Chinese PPI in October +5% vs. 5.3% consensus

  • China retail sales -0.5% vs. 0.7% consensus

  • China fixed Asset Investment +5.8% vs. 5.9% expected

  • Crude flows are changing ahead of Europe price cap

  • In the 4 weeks to November 11 number of tankers heading from Russia to China, India and Turkey hit a record

  • Shipments to Europe are already falling

Walmart (NYSE: NYSE:WMT) +7% 8 a.m. call

  • Comps +8.2% vs. street 5-6%

  • Solid progress on the inventory situation, +12.6% y-o-y vs. +25% last quarter

  • Lower Covid costs helped margins

  • WMT was able to cancel enough orders to not be caught with high inventories into holidays

  • Announced a $20 billion share buyback

  • Agreed to pay $3.1 billion to settle opioid lawsuits

  • Grocery now 50% of business

  • Focus on conference call: what will they say about October and November trends

Depot (NYSE: HD) flat

  • Mostly in-line quarter

  • Did not raise guide but management traditionally conservative

  • 4.5% comp vs. 2-year average comp of +5% in-line with street

  • EPS $4.24 beat driven by revenue beat of $38.9 billion vs. $37.9 billion

  • Gross margins down 10 basis points but better than street

  • Home Depot (NYSE:HD) Pro doing well

  • 9 a.m. conference call

Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRKa) 13F filing

  • Buffet buys semiconductors in Q3

  • Berkshire took a $5 billion stake in Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM)

  • up +10% today on the news

  • Taiwan Semi year-to-date down 40%

Amazon (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMZN)

  • Plans to lay off approximately 10,000 people out of their 1.5 million employees

  • Meta did 11,000 but employs a lot less people, so AMZN cut is much smaller

  • It would be the largest job cuts in the company’s history

Apple (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AAPL)

  • Tim Cook said they have slowed hiring given the economic environment

Earnings

  • Krispy Kreme (NASDAQ: DNUT)

CRYPTO UPDATE Digital asset flows

  • Investment products saw largest inflows for 14 weeks ($42 million)

  • Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) inflows $19 million

  • Short-Bitcoin inflows $12.6 million

  • Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) minor inflows $2.5 million

  • Blockchain equities largest outflows since May ($32 million)

    • Investors seeking safety in Bitcoin

FTX latest

  • Creditors could top 1 million

  • SBF posting cryptic tweets and deleting old ones

  • Hacker who drained $600 million has begun moving funds

  • Alameda has moved $89 million to new wallet

  • Michael Lewis has been embedded with SBF for 6 months

    • Book can’t come out fast enough

WATCH: Can crypto recover from FTX?

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