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Western Digital stock gets Overweight rating on strong cycle backdrop

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 01/08/2024, 11:38
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On Thursday, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) maintained an Overweight rating on Western Digital Corp. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:WDC), while increasing the price target to $94 from $86. The adjustment follows the company's conservative guidance in light of its impending separation, which is expected to bring both revenue and gross profit growth but may be offset by inverse synergies.

Western Digital is experiencing a favorable market environment, particularly in the hard drive sector. The company is also seeing a mixed performance in NAND flash memory but is benefiting from a significant increase in the adoption of cloud SSDs (solid-state drives). This combination of factors contributes to the firm's positive outlook on the stock.

The Morgan Stanley analyst highlighted that despite the conservative guidance, Western Digital's current market conditions make it one of the most undervalued stocks in their coverage. The company's performance is being bolstered by a strong cycle backdrop, which is expected to continue to drive value.

Investors and market watchers are keeping a close eye on Western Digital's strategic moves, especially the upcoming separation, which is anticipated to have a substantial impact on the company's financials. The firm's commentary suggests that while there might be challenges due to the separation, the overall industry environment remains robust for Western Digital.

The new price target of $94 reflects Morgan Stanley's confidence in Western Digital's market position and its ability to navigate through the separation while capitalizing on the strong demand for its hard drive and SSD products. The Overweight rating indicates that the firm expects the stock to outperform the average total return of stocks in the analyst's coverage universe over the next 12 to 18 months.

In other recent news, Western Digital Corp is navigating through a period of significant developments. The company anticipates a dip in Q1 revenue, expecting it to range between $4 billion and $4.20 billion, falling slightly short of Wall Street expectations.

This is attributed to a decline in demand for its data storage products. However, the company reported a near 28% increase in the revenue of its flash memory segment, which is slated to separate from the traditional hard disk drive business by 2024.

Morgan Stanley maintained an Overweight rating on Western Digital, raising the price target to $94. This adjustment follows the company's conservative guidance in light of its impending separation.

Rosenblatt also reiterated a Buy rating on Western Digital, holding a steady price target of $115, based on a favorable supply/demand ratio that is expected to boost average selling prices, enhance manufacturing utilization, and widen gross margins.

Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) maintained an Overweight rating on Western Digital, keeping a steady price target of $95 and identifying the company as their top tactical pick for the third quarter of 2024. This was due to the company's planned split into two independent entities. Susquehanna maintained a Neutral rating on Western Digital but raised the share target to $88.00, reflecting a favorable outlook on the NAND industry's structural changes.

Mizuho maintained a Buy rating on Western Digital and increased the price target to $90. The firm's analyst cited the potential value from the company's NAND spinoff and favorable pricing trends as key drivers for the positive outlook.

InvestingPro Insights

Western Digital Corp. (NASDAQ: WDC) stands as a prominent player in the Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals industry, with Morgan Stanley's recent Overweight rating and price target increase to $94 underscoring the company's strong market position. According to InvestingPro data, Western Digital has a market capitalization of $21.89 billion and has experienced a significant 56.4% return over the past year, illustrating the company's robust performance in the market. However, it's important to note that analysts do not anticipate Western Digital to be profitable this year, which is reflected in the company's negative P/E ratio of -13.12 and an adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 at -14.69.

Despite the challenges, Western Digital's liquid assets surpass its short-term obligations, providing a cushion for operational flexibility. The company's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 stands at $11.91 billion, although it has seen a decline of -15.97% in revenue growth during the same period. With a gross profit margin of 13.83%, Western Digital does suffer from weaker gross profit margins, which is an area for potential improvement.

Investors should also be aware that Western Digital does not pay a dividend to shareholders, which may influence investment decisions based on individual income strategies. For those seeking further insights, InvestingPro offers additional tips on Western Digital, providing a more comprehensive analysis for interested parties.

For a deeper dive into Western Digital's financial health and future prospects, visit InvestingPro for more tips and real-time data.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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