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Truist downgrades Microchip stock as cyclical recovery meets peak valuation

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 23/09/2024, 11:32
MCHP
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On Monday, Truist Securities adjusted its stance on Microchip Technology (NASDAQ:MCHP) stock, shifting the rating from Buy to Hold and revising the price target downward to $80 from the previous $89.

The decision comes amid a broader reassessment of the semiconductor industry by the firm, noting that the sector's fundamentals are showing signs of weakening, despite the stocks having performed well in the current cycle.

The downgrade reflects a cautious outlook for Microchip Technology, despite the firm's acknowledgment that the company's fundamentals may have recently reached a low point, with expectations for a significant recovery in the calendar year 2025.

However, this anticipated recovery is juxtaposed with the stock's current valuation, which is trading at 26 times the consensus earnings per share (EPS) for the calendar year 2025, a valuation considered to be at a historical high for Microchip.

Truist Securities has also revised its EPS estimate for Microchip for the calendar year 2025 to $3.33, down from the previous estimate of $3.69. The new price target is based on a 24 times multiple, which is a 2 times premium compared to Microchip's microcontroller unit (MCU) peers. This adjustment in valuation reflects the firm's view that the stock's cyclical recovery is converging with peak price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios, prompting the downgrade to a Hold rating.

Investors are now considering the implications of the revised outlook for Microchip Technology as the market processes the updated information from Truist Securities. The company's stock performance will continue to be monitored in relation to industry trends and its financial projections for the coming years.

In other recent news, Microchip Technology has been navigating a cyber incident that disrupted its operations, but has made substantial progress in restoring affected systems. The company's recent SEC filing confirms that most of its critical IT systems are back online and customer orders are being processed. Despite the cyber attack, Citi maintains its Buy rating on Microchip Technology, viewing the incident as a temporary setback.

In terms of financial performance, Microchip Technology reported a decrease in net sales for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, totaling $1.241 billion, a 6.4% drop from the previous quarter. However, non-GAAP net income remained robust at $289.9 million, with earnings per diluted share of $0.53.

Piper Sandler has upgraded the company's stock from Neutral to Overweight, while Rosenblatt Securities adjusted the stock price target to $90, maintaining a Buy rating.

In other company news, Microchip Technology, in collaboration with Acacia Communications (NASDAQ:ACIA), has demonstrated a significant advancement in data center interconnectivity. The company also released its Flashtec NVMe 5016 controller to enhance the performance and efficiency of data centers, and announced its entry into the 64-bit embedded microprocessor market. These developments are part of the company's recent activities.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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