On Tuesday, Truist Securities revised its price target for Restaurant Brands International (NYSE:QSR), adjusting it downwards to $87 from the previous target of $90, while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock.
The adjustment follows an analysis of the second quarter sales data for the U.S. Burger King segment, which Truist Securities estimates at $2.79 billion. This figure is slightly below the consensus sales estimate and indicates a same-store sales (SSS) growth of 2.1%.
The analyst from Truist Securities observed a trough in year-over-year growth in May, which then saw a modest improvement in June, coinciding with the launch of Burger King's '$5 Your Way' promotion on June 13. However, the month concluded with a slowdown in sales growth during the week of June 30. Looking ahead to July, the analyst anticipates that the continuing '$5 Your Way' marketing efforts and the upcoming Fiery menu launch on July 18 will help bolster sales, despite prevailing industry challenges.
In light of these factors, Truist Securities has also adjusted its second-quarter adjusted EBITDA estimate for Restaurant Brands International downward to $708.4 million from the previous estimate of $716.3 million. This new forecast falls short of the consensus estimate of $716.3 million. The revised price target of $87 reflects these updated sales and EBITDA projections.
In other recent news, Restaurant Brands International has been making significant strides with its earnings and revenue results, and strategic acquisitions.
The company recently completed its acquisition of Carrols Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:TAST), the largest Burger King franchisee in the U.S., for approximately $1 billion. This move is part of Restaurant Brands' "Reclaim the Flame" plan, which includes a $500 million investment to reimagine over 600 Carrols restaurants.
Analyst firms have been providing positive feedback on the company's performance. UBS maintained a Buy rating on Restaurant Brands, citing the company's strategic initiatives and promising long-term prospects. Similarly, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) initiated coverage with a Buy rating, highlighting a significant business transformation.
TD Cowen also reaffirmed its Buy rating, emphasizing Burger King's strategic approach. Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) and KeyBanc Capital Markets increased their price targets, maintaining positive ratings.
Earnings projections from Goldman Sachs for Restaurant Brands align with the Factset consensus, estimating $3.83 earnings per share and $3.1 billion in EBITDA for the year 2025. In addition, Burger King, a part of Restaurant Brands, has launched a new $5 value meal deal, aiming to stay competitive in the fast-food market.
InvestingPro Insights
In the context of Restaurant Brands International's (NYSE:QSR) recent performance and future prospects, InvestingPro data and tips provide additional dimensions for investors to consider. The company boasts a market capitalization of $31.51 billion, reflecting its substantial presence in the industry. Notably, QSR's P/E ratio stands at 17.86, which, when adjusted for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, shows a slight decrease to 17.36. This suggests that the company is trading at a low P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth, as highlighted by one of the InvestingPro Tips.
InvestingPro Tips also indicate that QSR has a track record of increasing dividends, having done so for 9 consecutive years, and has maintained dividend payments for 10 consecutive years. This consistency in dividend payments may appeal to income-focused investors. Additionally, the company's stock is known to exhibit low price volatility, which could be attractive to investors seeking stability in their portfolios.
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