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Trip.com share price target cut by TD Cowen on conservative estimates

EditorTanya Mishra
Published 27/08/2024, 14:14
TCOM
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Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ: TCOM) experienced a change in its stock outlook as TD Cowen adjusted the company's price target. The new target is set at $56.00, a reduction from the previous $63.00, while the firm continues to recommend a Buy rating for the stock.

The revision follows Trip.com's second-quarter revenue report, which showed a year-over-year increase of 14%. The company's non-GAAP operating income (NGOI) also saw a positive uptick of 22%, attributed to overhead leverage that compensated for higher advertising expenses. Current quarter-to-date trends are holding stable, with third-quarter revenue estimates expected to grow between 11% and 16%. Despite robust domestic volumes, average daily rates (ADRs) have dipped by approximately 10%, whereas outbound travel is on an upward trajectory.

TD Cowen has scaled back its 2025 revenue forecast for Trip.com by 2.5% in RMB terms, adopting a more conservative stance. Nevertheless, the firm anticipates a slight increase in NGOI and an upward adjustment in earnings per share (EPS), bolstered by equity in affiliates and a reduction in interest expenses.

The analyst's comments provide insight into the rationale behind the updated financial metrics and expectations for Trip.com, highlighting the company's performance amid a dynamic travel industry landscape.

In other recent news, Trip.com has reported significant earnings and revenue results, exceeding expectations. This robust performance has led to positive ratings and adjusted price targets from Benchmark, Jefferies, and Mizuho Securities.

In addition, the company has announced a strategic partnership with Prioticket, a platform renowned for managing and distributing various tours and activities. The collaboration is expected to enhance Trip.com's offerings by integrating Prioticket's API, thereby connecting with a network of suppliers and partners.

Meanwhile, analysts from firms such as Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), CFRA, and Barclays (LON:BARC) have maintained positive ratings on Trip.com, reflecting confidence in the company's growth and financial success. These firms have also adjusted their price targets and earnings estimates for Trip.com, based on the company's strong performance and optimistic outlook.

InvestingPro Insights

As Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ:TCOM) navigates the fluctuating travel industry, recent data from InvestingPro offers additional context for investors. The company's impressive gross profit margin, which stood at 81.53% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, indicates a strong ability to manage costs relative to revenue. This is a key metric for evaluating the company's financial health and operational efficiency, particularly as Trip.com continues to leverage overhead to enhance its non-GAAP operating income.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Trip.com holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, providing a cushion for strategic investments and resilience against market volatility. Additionally, 8 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, suggesting a positive outlook on the company's profitability and potential growth. For investors seeking a deeper dive into Trip.com's financials and future prospects, there are 9 more InvestingPro Tips available, offering comprehensive insights into the company's performance and market position.

Regarding valuation, Trip.com's adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024 stands at 15.87, paired with a low PEG ratio of 0.21, which could signal that the stock is trading at a reasonable price relative to near-term earnings growth. These metrics, combined with the company's significant revenue growth of 87.91% over the last twelve months, offer a compelling narrative for investors considering Trip.com's stock in their portfolio.

For those interested in further analysis and metrics, they can explore additional insights on Trip.com at InvestingPro, including the company's fair value estimations and more detailed financial data.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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