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Textron stock downgraded by Morgan Stanley amid business jet demand worries

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 08/08/2024, 09:58
TXT
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On Thursday, Textron Inc . (NYSE:TXT) stock experienced a shift in its rating, as it was downgraded from Overweight to Equalweight by a Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) analyst, with a new price target set at $95.00. The downgrade reflects concerns over the potential for incremental demand for business jets during a period of moderating economic growth.

The analyst pointed out that despite Textron's diverse portfolio, which includes Defense, Industrial, and commercial helicopter products, the company's stock performance is closely tied to the business jet cycle.

This cycle is known to be more sensitive to economic fluctuations compared to the more stable commercial aerospace and defense industries.

Investor sentiment towards Textron has grown more pessimistic due to the cyclical nature of the business jet market. This sentiment persists even though the company maintains a strong balance sheet and has a substantial Aviation backlog, which is estimated to last approximately 1.5 to 2 years.

In light of the current economic cycle and the prevailing investor sentiment, the decision was made to adjust Textron's stock rating. The analyst's commentary indicates that the downgrade takes into account the strong financial position of the company and the existing risk-reward scenario.

Textron's stock will continue to be monitored as the market responds to these changes and as the company navigates through the economic cycle that heavily influences the demand for its Aviation products.

In other recent news, Textron Inc. is close to acquiring the fuselage manufacturing program for its V-280 Valor military aircraft from Spirit AeroSystems (NYSE:SPR) Holdings Inc.

This development follows Boeing (NYSE:BA) Co.'s agreement to purchase Spirit AeroSystems for $4.7 billion. Additionally, TD Cowen has raised its price target for Textron shares to $103, citing strong performance in the Aviation and Bell segments, and a proactive share repurchase strategy.

Textron has also exceeded Q2 profit forecasts due to increased demand in its aviation sectors, reporting an 8% revenue increase to $1.48 billion in its Textron Aviation segment.

Meanwhile, Textron Aviation has delivered the first Cessna SkyCourier aircraft equipped with a new Combi interior to Everts Air, marking a significant milestone for the model. Textron Systems, another subsidiary of Textron, has partnered with Kodiak Robotics to develop an autonomous military ground vehicle.

These are recent developments from the past articles.

InvestingPro Insights

In the wake of the recent downgrade by Morgan Stanley, Textron Inc. (NYSE:TXT) presents a mixed picture according to InvestingPro data and tips. On the positive side, Textron's management has shown confidence in the company's value, as evidenced by aggressive share buybacks. Additionally, the company’s liquidity is robust, with liquid assets surpassing short-term obligations, and a moderate level of debt, which supports financial stability. This aligns with the strong balance sheet mentioned by the Morgan Stanley analyst.

However, it's not all smooth sailing for Textron. The stock has seen a significant decline over the past week, and with eight analysts revising their earnings estimates downwards, there may be challenges ahead. The company's P/E ratio currently stands at 17.59, which is high relative to its near-term earnings growth, potentially indicating that the stock is priced optimistically.

InvestingPro data also reveals that Textron's revenue growth over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 is 5.58%, with a gross profit margin of 16.53%. While these figures show some growth, they may not fully alleviate concerns about the business jet cycle's sensitivity to economic fluctuations. For investors considering Textron's stock, InvestingPro offers additional insights with more tips available on their platform.

As the market digests the implications of the downgrade and economic indicators unfold, Textron's ability to navigate the business jet cycle will remain a focal point for investors. With this in mind, the InvestingPro platform lists several more tips that could further guide investment decisions regarding Textron.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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