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Tesla stock target raised to $195 by Jefferies on operational focus

Published 21/10/2024, 21:14
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On Monday, Jefferies investment firm updated its stance on Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA), increasing the electric vehicle maker's price target from $165.00 to $195.00, while keeping a Hold rating on the stock. The revision reflects a shift in focus towards the company's core operations, amid a backdrop of concerns regarding governance and funding.

The firm anticipates Tesla's third-quarter financials to demonstrate a stable automotive sector, which could provide a competitive edge over lagging Western rivals. The forecast includes revenues of $19.9 billion, an automotive gross margin (AutoGM) of 14.5%, earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) of $1.98 billion, and free cash flow (FCF) of $1.6 billion. These projections are partly buoyed by the performance of the automotive division, with additional upside expected from Tesla's Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) credits and energy business in the coming years.

Jefferies highlighted the lack of substantial developments in technology or business models from Tesla's recent "We, Robot" presentation, leading analysts to refocus on the company's operational performance. Despite the absence of significant announcements, the firm's updated price target suggests a tempered optimism regarding Tesla's ability to maintain its operational momentum.

The report by Jefferies comes at a time when Tesla has been facing scrutiny over its governance and the sustainability of its funding. The new price target implies that while these concerns persist, there is recognition of Tesla's potential to leverage its position in the automotive industry, especially as it stabilizes its operations amidst the competition.

Investors and market watchers will be looking closely at Tesla's upcoming quarterly results to gauge whether the company can meet or exceed Jefferies' expectations, and to assess the impact of the operational focus on Tesla's financial health and stock performance.

In other recent news, Tesla, led by CEO Elon Musk, has seen a flurry of activity. The electric vehicle giant has been the subject of a National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) probe focused on its Full Self-Driving (FSD) feature, following a collision that resulted in a pedestrian fatality.

On a separate note, Musk has initiated a $1 million daily giveaway to individuals signing an online petition supporting the First and Second Amendments of the U.S. Constitution, stirring debate among legal experts over its compliance with federal election laws.

Turning to financial matters, Tesla is expected to announce a decrease in its auto sales profit margin for the third quarter, influenced by aggressive incentives aimed at attracting electric vehicle buyers. This comes alongside predictions of its first annual drop in deliveries due to increased competition from more affordable Chinese EVs and new electric models from established U.S. automakers.

Lastly, the company's robotaxi ambitions have drawn attention from investors and analysts, who seek clarity on production schedules and sales strategies. Despite concerns, Tesla reported that its vehicles had driven over 1.6 billion miles using FSD by the end of the second quarter. These are among the recent developments surrounding Tesla.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement Jefferies' analysis, InvestingPro data offers additional insights into Tesla's financial position. As of the last twelve months ending Q2 2024, Tesla reported revenue of $95.32 billion, with a modest revenue growth of 1.37%. This aligns with Jefferies' focus on Tesla's core operations and stable automotive sector.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Tesla "holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet" and "liquid assets exceed short term obligations," suggesting a strong financial position that could support the company's operational focus. This financial stability may provide Tesla with the flexibility to navigate market challenges and invest in growth opportunities.

However, it's worth noting that Tesla is "trading at a high earnings multiple" and has a P/E ratio of 56.02, which may indicate that the stock is priced for high growth expectations. This valuation metric could be a factor in Jefferies' decision to maintain a Hold rating despite raising the price target.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 19 additional tips for Tesla, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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