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Tesla maintains $293 stock price target as RBC contemplates FSD win in China

Published 29/04/2024, 16:30
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On Monday, RBC Capital maintained its positive stance on Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA), reiterating an Outperform rating and a price target of $293.00.

The investment firm highlighted the potential significance of Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology gaining traction in China, emphasizing the opportunity for the company to charge subscription fees for a large fleet of vehicles equipped with the advanced system.

RBC Capital underscored the importance of FSD in their investment thesis for Tesla, suggesting that success in China could help establish Tesla as a software industry standard. The firm also speculated on the possibility of regulators mandating Level 2+ autonomous features, similar to past safety requirements like seat belts and airbags, due to their life-saving potential.

Tesla's FSD technology is reportedly five times safer than the average US vehicle fleet based on the company's accident data.

The firm anticipates that while multiple Level 2+ autonomous driving entities may initially emerge, Tesla's position could be bolstered in the long term. Furthermore, RBC Capital sees an opportunity for Tesla to potentially license its FSD software to other manufacturers, although this remains a minor aspect of their valuation thesis.

Addressing concerns about the potential for Chinese companies to replicate Tesla's software, RBC Capital pointed out that FSD encompasses not just software but also extensive driving data and algorithm training primarily conducted in the US. This unique combination may provide a safeguard against replication efforts.

In their valuation of Tesla, RBC Capital has attributed 20% to the FSD technology, with an assumption of Tesla achieving an 8% market share in the segment. The firm's outlook remains optimistic about Tesla's growth prospects in the Chinese market and the broader adoption of its autonomous driving technology.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of RBC Capital's upbeat assessment of Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA), it's worth considering some additional dimensions provided by InvestingPro. With a robust market capitalization of $609.39 billion and a high P/E ratio of 44.52, Tesla's financial stature is clear. Although the company's P/E ratio has adjusted slightly to 39.31 in the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, it still reflects a premium valuation, possibly due to its leading role in the automobile industry and its innovative technologies like the Full Self-Driving system.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Tesla holds more cash than debt, which is a solid indicator of financial health, especially when venturing into new markets like China with its FSD technology. Furthermore, Tesla's significant return over the last week, with an 18.47% price total return, suggests a positive investor sentiment which could be linked to developments such as the potential of FSD in China. Nonetheless, it's important to note that 20 analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, indicating that there may be challenges ahead despite the current optimism.

For those looking to delve deeper into Tesla's performance and future prospects, InvestingPro offers a wealth of additional tips. In fact, there are 15 more InvestingPro Tips available at: https://www.investing.com/pro/TSLA. To gain access to these insights and make more informed investment decisions, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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