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Stifel reiterates 'Buy' on CIENA stock, highlights CSP opportunities and revenue growth

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 05/09/2024, 09:36
CIEN
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On Wednesday, Stifel reaffirmed its Buy rating on CIENA (NYSE:CIEN) stock with a steady price target of $68. The endorsement came after the company reported third-quarter results that surpassed expectations, driven by strong momentum with Communication Service Providers (CSPs) and improved spending dynamics from North American telecommunications service providers (telco SPs). This was despite continued softness in other regions, particularly Europe.

CIEN's fourth-quarter guidance suggests an anticipated full-year 2024 revenue of around $4 billion, aligning with prior forecasts. The company regards 2024 as a transitional period and anticipates an acceleration of momentum in 2025 as orders increase. Stifel highlighted the growing engagements with CSPs, expecting these to contribute to new revenue streams starting next year.

The company has maintained its long-term compound annual growth rate (CAGR) forecast of 6%-8%, indicating growth that surpasses market expectations. Stifel's analysis suggests that the opportunities arising from additional CSP (LON:CSPC) engagements could potentially lead to growth beyond CIEN's current targets.

The firm's projection for CIENA remains positive, with a reiterated price target of $68, reflecting confidence in the company's growth trajectory and its ability to capitalize on CSP opportunities in the upcoming years.

In other recent news, Ciena (NYSE:CIEN) Corporation has announced impressive fiscal third-quarter results, with revenues hitting $942 million and adjusted earnings per share standing at $0.35. The firm's adjusted gross margin was reported at 43.7%, and the adjusted operating margin was 8%. These strong results were primarily driven by a surge in demand for network capacity and architectures, attributed to increased cloud adoption and AI-driven network traffic.

The company is also optimistic about the fiscal fourth quarter, expecting a revenue range of $1.06 billion to $1.14 billion. This projection is supported by the introduction of new technologies such as WaveLogic 6 and an expanded market presence. Additionally, Ciena has announced the upcoming retirement of CFO Jim Moylan, with a search for his successor currently underway.

Despite the robust performance, the company is facing challenges in the routing and switching business, particularly in the international service provider space. Furthermore, inventory levels remain elevated due to supply chain issues linked to COVID-19.

However, Ciena maintains a positive business outlook, backed by its high market share in submarine cables, growth in the Blue Planet business line, and the securing of over 65 global broadband customers.

InvestingPro Insights

As CIENA (NYSE:CIEN) garners a reaffirmed Buy rating from Stifel with a price target of $68, real-time data from InvestingPro complements this perspective. CIENA's market capitalization stands at $7.91 billion, with a high trailing twelve-month P/E ratio of 52.87, which adjusts to 42.43 for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This reflects a premium earnings multiple, indicating market optimism about future earnings growth. Despite analysts anticipating a sales decline in the current year, the company's revenue growth over the last twelve months was 2.92%, and CIENA has been able to maintain a gross profit margin of 43.2%.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that CIENA's management has been actively engaging in share buybacks, a sign of confidence in the company's value. Additionally, with liquid assets surpassing short-term obligations, CIENA operates with a moderate level of debt, suggesting a solid financial footing. This is particularly relevant as the company navigates what it calls a transitional period, with an acceleration of momentum expected in 2025.

For investors seeking a deeper dive into CIENA's performance and potential, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available, offering insights into the company's profitability, returns over various periods, and dividend policy. The InvestingPro product provides a comprehensive set of tips to assist in making informed investment decisions. To explore further, visit: https://www.investing.com/pro/CIEN.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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