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Stifel cuts MacroGenics target to $6 on trial concerns

Published 07/08/2024, 19:12
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On Wednesday, Stifel, a financial services firm, adjusted its outlook on MacroGenics (NASDAQ:MGNX), a biopharmaceutical company traded on NASDAQ under the ticker MGNX. The price target was lowered to $6.00 from the previous $7.00, while the firm retained a Hold rating on the stock.

The decision follows recent updates from MacroGenics, including an earnings announcement and a corporate update. Stifel's unchanged Hold rating is based on a series of factors affecting the company's prospects. The analyst cited the discontinuation of patient dosing in the TAMARACK trial as a significant concern, along with safety data that suggests a narrow therapeutic index for the company's vobra-duo treatment, which may limit its viability as a single-agent strategy for registration.

The next major event anticipated to influence MacroGenics' stock is the presentation of updated safety and efficacy data from the Phase 2 TAMARACK trial at the European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO). However, the firm expresses skepticism about the potential positive impact of this event on the stock's performance.

Stifel also highlighted the potential of MacroGenics' next-generation B7-H3 targeting ADC, MGC026, noting that its novel linker/payload technology has been clinically validated by Innovent's IBI343. Additionally, the analyst pointed out the recent $100 million development milestone achieved with retifanlimab as an unexpected positive development.

Looking forward, the first half of 2025 is expected to bring a trial update from the LORIKEET study, which could serve as a catalyst for the company. The revised price target of $6 primarily reflects adjustments to the projected success rates of vobra-duo and retifanlimab in the market.

In other recent news, MacroGenics, a biopharmaceutical company, experienced significant developments. The company reported a decrease in total revenue to $9.1 million from $24.5 million in the prior year's quarter, alongside a net loss of $52.2 million. MacroGenics recently halted its Tamarack study, which was focused on evaluating vobra duo for metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC). This decision led to stock rating downgrades from BTIG, B.Riley, and Guggenheim, shifting their stance from "Buy" to "Neutral".

Citi and H.C. Wainwright, however, maintained their ratings but revised their price targets for MacroGenics. Citi lowered its target to $16 from $25, while H.C. Wainwright significantly reduced its target to $4 from $16. Both firms adjusted their estimated probabilities of success for vobra duo due to recent safety concerns.

Despite the halt of the Tamarack study, MacroGenics plans to continue monitoring the participants for efficacy and safety outcomes. The company anticipates presenting mature data from the study at a medical conference later in the second half of 2024. These are among the recent developments that investors should keep track of.

InvestingPro Insights

As investors digest the new outlook from Stifel on MacroGenics, real-time data and insights from InvestingPro provide a more granular view of the company's financial health and market performance. With a market capitalization of approximately $218.59 million, MacroGenics holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, indicating a solid liquidity position. This is a crucial factor for biopharmaceutical companies like MacroGenics, which often require substantial capital for research and development.

Despite the challenges highlighted by Stifel, analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, reflecting some optimism about the company's future performance. However, it's important to note that MacroGenics has been experiencing high price volatility, and the stock price has seen a significant decline over the last three months. This aligns with Stifel's cautious stance on the stock's near-term prospects.

Investors considering MacroGenics should be aware that the company is not expected to be profitable this year, and net income is anticipated to drop. For those interested in a deeper dive into MacroGenics' financials and future outlook, InvestingPro offers additional tips and a fair value estimate of $4.8, which is slightly below the analyst target of $8. To explore further, visit InvestingPro for MacroGenics.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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