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Southwest stock upgraded on fleet value and margin focus - Evercore ISI

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 03/09/2024, 12:02
LUV
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On Tuesday, Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE:LUV) stock received an upgrade from Evercore ISI, with its stock rating lifted to Outperform from In Line. Accompanying the upgrade, the firm also increased the price target for the airline's shares to $35.00, up from the previous target of $30.00.

The upgrade reflects Evercore ISI's positive outlook on Southwest's strategic shift towards capacity discipline, including the reduction of less productive flights.

The firm also anticipates new revenue initiatives that are expected to be detailed at the upcoming investor day on September 26. These initiatives include the introduction of assigned seating and a premium economy class, aimed at enhancing the airline's revenue streams.

The analyst further noted the strong underlying fleet value of Southwest, citing both the current fleet and the order book. This value, while not a new aspect, is anticipated to be highlighted by the company through potential transactions. The focus of these transactions would be to shed light on the embedded value within the fleet as the airline shifts its attention to restoring margins and returns rather than expanding into new markets.

Southwest's strategy over the next three years is geared towards margin and returns restoration. The company's move away from aggressive market growth is seen as a positive step by Evercore ISI, suggesting a more disciplined approach to its business operations and financial management.

The analyst's remarks underscore the potential for Southwest to leverage its fleet assets and new revenue strategies to improve its financial performance. As the company prepares to reveal further details at the end of September, investors and industry observers will be closely watching the execution of these initiatives.

In other recent news, Elliott Investment Management has acquired a 10% stake in Southwest Airlines, a move that could lead to a significant leadership overhaul. The hedge fund has called for the removal of Southwest's CEO, Robert Jordan, and Executive Chairman, Gary Kelly, and has proposed nominating 10 directors to the company's board. This comes amidst Southwest's efforts to improve its public image and market value, which has seen a substantial drop from $41 billion in 2017 to $17 billion currently.

Southwest Airlines has also been expanding its flight schedule, adding new international services and increased flights to accommodate sports fans. These recent developments come as the airline is working on a turnaround strategy that includes more spacious seating and considering assigned seating.

At the same time, the U.S. Department of Transportation announced that U.S. airlines, including Southwest, have managed to maintain a relatively low cancellation rate this year, despite record-high summer travel numbers. This is a testament to the airlines' operational efficiency amidst challenging circumstances.

In the financial realm, Southwest Airlines reported a slight second-quarter earnings per share beat at $0.58, a 13% increase from the previous quarter. However, Bernstein SocGen Group has reduced its price target for the airline's shares, reflecting Southwest's anticipated third-quarter loss due to declining main cabin revenue. These are the latest happenings in the world of Southwest Airlines.

InvestingPro Insights

Following the upgrade by Evercore ISI, real-time data from InvestingPro provides additional context to Southwest Airlines Co.'s (NYSE:LUV) financial landscape. The airline currently holds a market capitalization of $17.33 billion, indicating its significant presence in the industry. Despite a high earnings multiple with a P/E ratio of 219.79, the adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 is more moderate at 31.5, reflecting a potentially more reasonable valuation over a longer term. Additionally, Southwest has demonstrated revenue growth of 7.54% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, signaling a positive trajectory in earnings potential.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Southwest Airlines maintains more cash than debt on its balance sheet, providing financial stability and flexibility. Moreover, the company has experienced a strong return over the last month, with a 15.45% increase in price total return, showcasing recent investor confidence. It's important to note, however, that 13 analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, which may temper expectations. For those interested in a deeper dive, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available on Southwest Airlines, offering a comprehensive analysis of the company's financial health and future prospects.

As Southwest Airlines continues to refine its strategic initiatives, these financial metrics and expert insights from InvestingPro will be crucial for investors to monitor the company's progress and potential for long-term success.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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